Big money moves beyond individual candidates — spending plans, ad reservations, and where the parties are putting their dollars. Each item links to its source. Pro-Israel influence items always appear here, no matter which state you pick.
On watch since Thursday, October 29, 2026PAC watch
Real American Values PACFEC #C00960757
Why it's watched: Registered Sep 3, 2026; spent $380,226 opposing Ken Paxton (TX-Sen) on Oct 27 direct mail, but its reports through Oct 14 show only $175 in receipts — the money behind the ads arrived after Oct 14 and is undisclosed until the post-general report.
Associations: Treasurer Keith Konnerth is also treasurer of Cornerstone Founders PAC (C00948653) and Granite Freedom PAC (C00963579), all at the same Claymont, DE mail-drop address (FEC committee records) Vendor: Political Reform Group LLC (direct mail)
Israel ties: None documented.
See it on the network map →
See the Texas Senate race →
Donor disclosure due: Thursday, December 3, 2026
On watch since Thursday, October 29, 2026PAC watch
Sandhills Education FundFEC #C00963553
Why it's watched: Registered Oct 13, 2026, thirteen days before spending $192,544 in Nebraska's Senate race boosting minor candidate Robin Richards while attacking Dan Osborn, the main challenger to Sen. Pete Ricketts. No report disclosing any donors has been filed.
Associations: Treasurer: Christian Jordan (no other FEC committees; FEC record C00963553) Main vendor: 4 Dog Partners LLC (media, mail, texts — FEC IE filing Oct 26, 2026)
Israel ties: None documented.
See it on the network map →
See the Nebraska Senate race →
Donor disclosure due: Thursday, December 3, 2026
On watch since Monday, October 26, 2026PAC watch
Choose Freedom PACFEC #C00961656
Why it's watched: New super PAC (Mountain Brook, AL; treasurer Kaylen Melton) whose first hub-race independent expenditures — $1,304,215 opposing Adam Hamilton (D) in KS-Sen, disseminated Oct 24, filed Oct 25 — exceed the $755,916 cash it reported on hand on Sep 30. Its Oct Quarterly (filed Oct 15, Sep 15-30) disclosed $10,000,000 in itemized individual contributions (donor itemization not yet verified by this audit) and $5,000,000 in contributions to other committees; the October receipts funding the Kansas buy are not disclosed until the Post-General report due Dec 3.
Associations: Treasurer Kaylen Melton (Mountain Brook, AL) — previously treasurer of record for Alabama Conservatives Fund (see FEC MUR 8008). Vendors: Strategic Media Placement Inc (media placement, $1,297,195) and The Strategy Group for Media Inc (media production, $7,020). No affiliated committee listed on its FEC record.
Israel ties: None documented.
See it on the network map →
See the Kansas Senate race →
Donor disclosure due: Thursday, December 3, 2026
On watch since Sunday, October 25, 2026PAC watch
Empowering Black Americans PACFEC #C00882431
Why it's watched: Super PAC (Dallas, TX; first FEC filing July 2, 2024) that reported $1,538,000 in independent expenditures, all opposing Abdul El-Sayed (D) in the Michigan Senate race, run through sole vendor Spearpoint Strategies LLC. Its only disclosed receipt all cycle is a single $25,000 contribution, it held $27,791 cash on hand at September 30, and it has filed NO Pre-General report as of Oct 25 — the money behind the October ad campaign is undisclosed until the Post-General report (due Dec 3). Treasurer Cassie Tinsmon is also treasurer of record for J Street Action Fund — a shared paperwork role, not evidence of coordination.
Associations: Treasurer Cassie Tinsmon (Dallas, TX) — also treasurer of record for J Street Action Fund (C00815753). Sole IE vendor: Spearpoint Strategies LLC. No funder for the October spending is documented yet.
Israel ties: None documented. The shared treasurer with J Street Action Fund is a compliance-paperwork link only; no funding or coordination link is documented.
See it on the network map →
See the Michigan Senate race →
Donor disclosure due: Thursday, December 3, 2026
On watch since Saturday, October 24, 2026PAC watch
Stronger NationFEC #C00898999
Why it's watched: Democratic-aligned hybrid PAC (registered Mar 5, 2025, Los Angeles CA); $550,003 in independent expenditures across eight Senate races, all disseminated Oct 22 via Rising Tide Interactive (supporting Talarico, Brown, El-Sayed, Andrews, Turek, Hamilton, Osborn and Jackson; opposing their Republican opponents). Reported $0 contributions ever through Oct 14 — roughly $545K arrived Oct 15-22, undisclosed until the Post-General (due Dec 3). Only disclosed funder ever: Rapid Resist Action, a Chicago 501(c)(4), $130,000 in 2025.
Associations: Treasurer Zoe Stein; compliance/custodian Howie Stanger (Pocketbook Strategies, Los Angeles). Vendor: Rising Tide Interactive. Amended Form 1 filed Oct 19, three days before the spending. Website stronger-nation.com is a generic voter-information site naming no principals.
Israel ties: None documented.
See it on the network map →
See the Texas Senate race → See the Ohio Senate race → See the Michigan Senate race → See the South Carolina Senate race → See the Iowa Senate race → See the Kansas Senate race → See the Nebraska Senate race → See the Maine Senate race →
Donor disclosure due: Thursday, December 3, 2026
On watch since Saturday, October 24, 2026PAC watch
ROCC PACFEC #C00959692
Why it's watched: New IE-only super PAC (registered Aug 24, 2026, Cincinnati OH); first and only expenditure $190,000 opposing Sherrod Brown (D) in OH-Sen (via Logan Circle Group, disseminated Oct 23). Pre-General (filed Oct 20) showed just $2,500 raised through Oct 14, so the $190K's funder arrived after Oct 14 and is undisclosed until the Post-General (due Dec 3).
Associations: Treasurer Paul Reynolds; both committee emails are at Langdon Law (David Langdon's conservative Ohio election-law firm). Vendor: Logan Circle Group (Harlan Hill's Trump-aligned firm). No website or press found; 'ROCC' is not expanded in any filing.
Israel ties: None documented.
See it on the network map →
See the Ohio Senate race →
Donor disclosure due: Thursday, December 3, 2026
On watch since Saturday, October 24, 2026PAC watch
Our Heritage MattersFEC #C00963736
Why it's watched: New super PAC (registered Oct 15, 2026, Salt Lake City UT) running a right-side spoiler-boost operation: $404,084 on PoliVion-tracked races supporting only Libertarian/independent candidates (Laehn IA-Sen $214,257, David Graham KS-Sen, Royal TX-34, others) and opposing only Republicans (Marshall KS-Sen $98,599, Flint MT-1, Mitchell IA-2, Evans CO-8). It has filed NO F3X donor report of any kind — funders fully hidden until the Post-General (due Dec 3), if then.
Associations: Treasurer Mike McCauley (McCauley & Associates PC, Salt Lake City — a Republican compliance/CPA firm serving many committees; a paperwork role, with no evidence he is a principal). Sole IE vendor: Chase Grove LLC (no public footprint). No website. Pattern matches the Principled Patriots spoiler playbook, but NO shared treasurer, vendor, funder, or address is documented — no connection is claimed.
Israel ties: None documented.
See it on the network map →
See the Iowa Senate race → See the Kansas Senate race → See the Montana District 1 race → See the Texas District 34 race → See the Iowa District 2 race → See the Colorado District 8 race →
Donor disclosure due: Thursday, December 3, 2026
On watch since Friday, October 23, 2026PAC watch
Americans for an Efficient Government PACFEC #C00946186
Why it's watched: $265,274 anti-Tyndell (KS-4) TV buy 10/21 via Medium Buying — first-ever IE; committee had only $63,500 raised through 9/30 (seeded by $25K from Conservatives for America PAC), so the ~$200K+ in October funders are undisclosed. Also: the $25K seed receipt has no matching disbursement in the donor PAC's own reports — discrepancy unresolved.
Associations: Treasurer Dustin McIntyre (professional pop-up treasurer; Public Radio East 5/4/2026 investigation). Seed donor Conservatives for America PAC (oil-industry/Wall Street conduit). Vendor Medium Buying (Columbus OH).
Israel ties: None documented.
See it on the network map →
See the Kansas District 4 race →
Donor disclosure due: 2027-01-31 (Year-End)
On watch since Friday, October 23, 2026PAC watch
Michigan Action Federal Super PACFEC #C00871350
Why it's watched: $146,805 pro-El-Sayed (MI-Sen) print/mail buy 10/22 via Messenger Printing Service Inc; committee had ~$2,484 cash on hand 10/14 and zero itemized 2026 receipts — the funder of the buy is undisclosed.
Associations: Treasurer Brett J. McRae (progressive compliance professional). Asst. treasurer Ammara T. Ansari (Detroit Action staffer). Network: Detroit Action / Center for Popular Democracy (shared staff, address, email domain; sole major donor Popular Democracy PAC $50K Oct 2024).
Israel ties: None documented in the pro-Israel direction; the documented network (Detroit Action) is publicly pro-Gaza-ceasefire.
See it on the network map →
See the Michigan Senate race →
Donor disclosure due: 2026-12-03 (Post-General)
On watch since Friday, October 23, 2026PAC watch
Magnolia Project Inc.FEC #C90023904
Why it's watched: First-time Form 5 (independent-expenditure, non-committee) filer; $100K pro-Colom (MS-Sen) digital buy 10/22 — $63K placement via TargetSmart Communications + $37K production via Digitally Detailed Inc. (no public footprint). No public identity, no website, no officers, no donors disclosed. As a corporate Form 5 filer spending its own treasury, donor disclosure may never be legally required.
Associations: Vendor (placement): TargetSmart Communications (Democratic digital/voter-data firm). Vendor (production): Digitally Detailed Inc. (no public footprint). Signatory unknown — filing image not yet processed.
Israel ties: None documented.
See it on the network map →
See the Mississippi Senate race →
Donor disclosure due: None required (Form 5 corporate filer); watch Year-End Form 5 due 2027-01-31 and any 24-hour reports
On watch since Thursday, October 22, 2026PAC watch
Fix the BenchFEC #C00897231
Why it's watched: $250,000 anti-Scott Perry (PA-10) digital ad buy obligated 10/15/2026 via Evolve Media (F24 filed 10-21); funders not yet disclosed — the $250K was obligated one day after the pre-general coverage period. Committee's known network is the small-dollar Stop Republican Judges operation (treasurer Jay Petterson, Blue Wave Political Partners; affiliated: Stop Republican Judges C00897223).
Associations: Treasurer Jay Petterson (Blue Wave Political Partners); affiliated committee Stop Republican Judges (C00897223); vendor Evolve Media. Pre-general receipts only $16,500 — the $250K's funder first appears in the post-general report.
Israel ties: None documented.
See it on the network map →
See the Pennsylvania District 10 race →
Donor disclosure due: Thursday, December 3, 2026
On watch since Wednesday, October 21, 2026PAC watch
Constitutional Vanguard Super PACFEC #C00960930
Why it's watched: Constitutional Vanguard Super PAC: Q3 donor disclosed via filed PDF — VanHornLTD LLC (Kalispell MT) $199,100 (9/22), sole Q3 donor. October $210K pro-Paxton (TX-Sen) buy's funding hidden until Post-General due 12-3.
Associations: Treasurer Jondalar Diepeveen (Sunrise, FL); committee site cvgpac.com. Vendor Provident Strategies Inc. No principal or funder identified.
Israel ties: None documented.
See it on the network map →
See the Texas Senate race →
Donor disclosure due: Thursday, December 3, 2026
On watch since Wednesday, October 21, 2026PAC watch
Maremoto ActionFEC #C90023458
Why it's watched: Non-committee F5 filer (Oak Park, IL) — the IE arm of Maremoto, a Latino power-building organization. Cycle ~$299K in independent expenditures: ~$329K supporting Randy Villegas (CA-22) in the spring (amended July), ~$123K supporting Sherrod Brown (OH-Sen) in October, $20,922 supporting Bob Brooks (PA-7) (filed Oct 20). No donor report is ever filed by F5 filers — funders fully hidden.
Associations: IE arm of Maremoto (somoselmaremoto.org). Vendors: Evolucion Strategy(s), Precision Strategies, Fomation Impact Inc, Palette Media, COMPA Studios, Lauren Juarez LLC, Wrapbook, Champions Design. No funder identified.
Israel ties: None documented.
See it on the network map →
See the Ohio Senate race → See the Pennsylvania District 7 race → See the California District 22 race →
Donor disclosure due: none scheduled
On watch since Wednesday, October 21, 2026PAC watch
Conservatives for AmericaFEC #C90023870
Why it's watched: New non-committee F5 filer (first filing Oct 20, 2026); single $100,000 advertising outlay via Targeted Victory (dissem. Oct 19) supporting four House Republicans (Carey OH-15, Finstad MN-1, Hill AR-2, Steil WI-1) — one dual-purpose ad, not $400K. No individual behind the filer is named in any public FEC record (Bethesda MD PO box only); F5 filers never file donor reports.
Associations: Vendor: Targeted Victory (Arlington VA, GOP digital firm). No principal, treasurer, or funder identified.
Israel ties: None documented.
See it on the network map →
See the Ohio District 15 race → See the Minnesota District 1 race → See the Arkansas District 2 race → See the Wisconsin District 1 race →
Donor disclosure due: none scheduled
On watch since Tuesday, October 20, 2026PAC watch
Forward UnitedFEC #C90023854
Why it's watched: Brand-new 527 filer (first and only FEC report filed Oct 19, 2026): $150,000 in digital advertising opposing Nadia Milleron (D) in MA-1, disseminated Oct 18 via Powers Interactive. As a 527 with no FEC committee registration, it discloses spending but has no scheduled donor report — funders may never be FEC-disclosed.
Associations: Treasurer Chris Keohan (MA Democratic operative; CK Strategies / Shawmut Strategies Group). Vendor: Powers Interactive. No 8871/8872 found as of Oct 20.
Israel ties: None documented.
See it on the network map →
See the Massachusetts District 1 race →
Donor disclosure due: none scheduled
On watch since Tuesday, October 20, 2026PAC watch
J Street Action FundFEC #C00815753
Why it's watched: J Street Action Fund: its 12-day Pre-General report WAS filed October 22, 2026 (covering Oct 1-14), so early-October donors are now on record; the audit has not yet itemized them. Its largest October buy — $278,581.54 opposing Ryan Mackenzie (PA-7) on Oct 21, part of its announced $3M campaign against AIPAC-endorsed GOP incumbents — falls after Oct 14, so that money stays undisclosed until the Post-General report (due Dec 3).
Associations: Super PAC arm of J Street (president Jeremy Ben-Ami; the $3M campaign was announced by Tali deGroot, VP of Political and Digital Strategy). Treasurer Cassie Tinsmon. Sister conduit PAC: JSTREETPAC (C00441949). Reported 2026 committee funding includes the Soros family's Democracy PAC / Democracy PAC II.
Israel ties: Pro-Israel organization — J Street describes itself as pro-Israel, pro-peace, pro-democracy and positions itself as a counterweight/rival to AIPAC, not an ally. No AIPAC-network funding documented; the documented 2026 committee funding is the Soros Democracy PAC network.
See it on the network map →
See the Georgia Senate race → See the Ohio District 7 race → See the Wisconsin District 3 race → See the Pennsylvania District 7 race → See the Iowa District 1 race →
Donor disclosure due: Thursday, December 3, 2026
On watch since Monday, October 19, 2026PAC watch
Buckeye Freedom PACFEC #C00963017
Why it's watched: New IE-only super PAC (registered Oct 2026, WI); first act was a $600,000 dual-purpose ad (true outlay; reported as two $600K FEC lines) attacking Jon Husted (R) and boosting Libertarian William Redpath in the tied OH-Sen race, disseminated Oct 17 via RFO Marketing Partners LLC. No F3X filed; donors undisclosed. Lean is Democratic-aligned (attack Husted from the right / boost the Libertarian); a spoiler-playbook case is under review. CORRECTED 10/20: Pre-General (12-day, 10/1–14, filed 10/15) lists $0 receipts / $0 disbursements — the $600K ad buy's funding is undisclosed until the Post-General (due Dec 3).
Associations: Treasurer Thomas Datwyler (AxCap Team compliance, Hudson WI). Website BuckeyeFreedomPAC.com; Meta ads attack Husted as a 'RINO'. Principals and funders hidden. Amended F1 (filed 10/18) moved address Hudson WI → Columbus OH and compliance email tcdatwyler@gmail.com → electgop4usa@gmail.com.
Israel ties: None documented.
See it on the network map →
See the Ohio Senate race →
Donor disclosure due: Thursday, December 3, 2026
On watch since Monday, October 19, 2026PAC watch
Center for Democratic Priorities IncFEC #C90023847
Why it's watched: Dark-money 527; an estimated $5.7M in TV ads backing Haley Stevens in the MI Dem Senate primary (via Waterfront Strategies) with zero donor disclosure and no FEC/IRS registration paperwork as of June 2026 reporting. Resurfaced 10/19 with its first-ever FEC filing: $110,310 direct mail supporting Tom Suozzi (NY-3) via Mission Control Inc. Donors never disclosed; no donor report is scheduled (527s report only IEs to the FEC). UPDATE 10-21: second F5 filed 10-20 — $80,875.22 in pro-Suozzi (NY-03) direct mail via Mission Control Inc, disseminated 10-19 (calendar YTD $191,185.66, prior F5 10-16: $110,310.44). Contributions received: $0. No donor report is scheduled (527, no committee registration) — funders may never be FEC-disclosed.
Associations: No treasurer of record on any FEC filing; only named officer anywhere is John Jones (name matches the treasurer of AIPAC-funded Blue Wave Action 2024 — same person not established). Suspected-but-denied AIPAC links: El-Sayed publicly alleged AIPAC funding; AIPAC denied; shared media buyer Waterfront Strategies with AIPAC's UDP. No money link documented.
Israel ties: Not confirmed. Circumstantial links documented: shared media buyer Waterfront Strategies with AIPAC's UDP; board officer's name matching the treasurer of the AIPAC-funded Blue Wave Action; El-Sayed's public allegation — AIPAC denied funding. No donor or money link documented.
See it on the network map →
See the New York District 3 race →
Donor disclosure due: none scheduled
On watch since Monday, October 19, 2026PAC watch
Protect Our Family Values ActionFEC #C00929257
Why it's watched: GOP super PAC (registered Dec 2025), treasurer Les Williamson (Strategic Victory Solutions; ex-NRSC/McConnell circles), operating from a Houston mailbox address. $220,070 in anti-Wellman (MO-2) buys on Oct 17 and Oct 21 via Del Cielo Media. Pre-General filed Oct 22: $120,000 raised against $220,070 spent — the balance's funding is undisclosed until the Post-General (Dec 3). Q3's itemized donor was Roy Pfautch ($25,000).
Associations: Treasurer Les Williamson, 1305 W 11th St #217, Houston TX (mailbox address shared with other Williamson-treasurered committees: Association of Texas Conservatives, Old North Action). Vendor: Del Cielo Media.
Israel ties: None documented.
See it on the network map →
See the Missouri District 2 race →
Donor disclosure due: Thursday, December 3, 2026
On watch since Saturday, October 17, 2026PAC watch
Building the FutureFEC #C00960328
Why it's watched: New GOP super PAC (registered Aug 30, 2026); cycle independent expenditures $1,296,413.89 supporting appointed Sen. Darline Graham (R) in SC-Sen — Oct 16 F24 ($407,500 text/messaging/media) and Oct 17 F24 ($888,913.89 media placement), both via Prusik Partners LLC. Q3 F3X (filed Oct 15, 8/30-9/30) listed zero receipts and zero disbursements: donors fully hidden. Pre-General (due 10-22) NOT filed as of Oct 24 — past deadline; October donors fully hidden.
Associations: Treasurer of record on FEC filings: Britney Gonzalez (Reno, NV). Earlier association note: GOP firm Crosby Ottenhoff (not on the filings themselves). Vendor Prusik Partners LLC was tied by reporting to the a16z/OpenAI-backed Leading the Future AI network — a shared vendor does not mean a shared funder.
Israel ties: None documented.
See it on the network map →
See the South Carolina Senate race →
Donor disclosure due: Thursday, October 22, 2026
On watch since Thursday, October 15, 2026PAC watch
Hoosier State Values PACFEC #C00962779
Why it's watched: New hybrid PAC (registered Oct 1, 2026); cycle independent expenditures $381,774 true outlay in IN-5 opposing Victoria Spartz (R) / supporting J.D. Ford (D) via Pinwheel Productions. Pre-General filed late-day Oct 22 but reported $0 receipts / $0 disbursements with $168,368.75 in debts owed by the committee — the spending is debt-financed and no donors are disclosed. Treasurer Andrew Madras (Rising Blue Consulting).
Associations: Treasurer Andrew Madras — Democratic compliance professional (Rising Blue Consulting; previously American Bridge 21st Century). The committee appears in ActBlue's independent-expenditure directory. Spending ran through DC mail vendor Pinwheel Productions.
Israel ties: None documented.
See it on the network map →
See the Indiana District 5 race →
Donor disclosure due: Thursday, October 22, 2026
On watch since PAC watch
Pro-Choice Majority ActionFEC #C00949248
Why it's watched: Super PAC formed May 1, 2026 (treasurer Jay Petterson), FEC-affiliated with EDW Action Fund (C00863472), which has supplied $5,570,000 — effectively all of its funding; EDW's largest outside donor is UDP (C00799031, $2,350,000 in 2026). PCMA spent $5.6M in Democratic primaries and filed $300,000 against Mai Vang (CA-07) on Oct 24, 2026, backing AIPAC-funded Rep. Doris Matsui; the filing is not yet in FEC bulk data (compile lag). Watch its Pre/Post-General reports for further EDW/UDP transfers and any general-election expansion.
Associations: Not yet researched.
Israel ties: None documented.
See it on the network map →
Donor disclosure due:
Friday, October 30, 2026Outside spending
Democratic group Tomorrow Together launches $4M ad campaign on AI regulation in four House races
Tomorrow Together, a Democratic group, launched a $4 million advertising campaign targeting four Republican House incumbents — Derrick Van Orden (WI-03), Juan Ciscomani (AZ-06), Rob Bresnahan (PA-08) and Tom Barrett (MI-07) — over their 2025 votes for a budget bill that would have barred state AI regulation for a decade; the provision was later stripped in the Senate. The buy is backed by Workbench Strategy polling in the four districts.
Source: Newsmax (reporting Axios) →Thursday, October 29, 2026Outside spending
Outside groups have poured $6.5 million into Ohio's 15th District, a seat Republicans were supposed to hold easily
The Columbus Dispatch reports that outside PACs have spent more than $6.5 million over the past two months in Ohio's 15th District, where Republican Rep. Mike Carey faces Democrat Don Leonard — a remarkable total for a seat Carey won by 13 points in 2024. Per FEC independent-expenditure filings, left-leaning groups have spent about $3.9 million helping Leonard (about $2.6 million of it against Carey), while right-leaning groups have spent about $2.6 million helping Carey, including about $1 million from the Trump-aligned Safety & Affordability PAC. This is cumulative spending over two months, not a single new buy; Sabato's Crystal Ball moved the race from Safe Republican to Likely Republican at the end of September, and a House Majority PAC poll released Oct. 28 showed Leonard ahead by 3 points.
Source: Columbus Dispatch →Thursday, October 29, 2026Election news
Alaska Senate lawsuit: DOJ drops its opposition to the Peltola campaign intervening and seeks expedited discovery
In the Justice Department's lawsuit to block certification of Alaska's Senate result if Sen. Dan Sullivan narrowly loses, DOJ on Wednesday withdrew its opposition to intervention by Mary Peltola's campaign, the DSCC and the League of Women Voters of Alaska, and said it intends to seek expedited discovery from the Peltola campaign over the reported effort to recruit a namesake spoiler candidate. Judge Sharon Gleason granted the intervention motions and ordered DOJ to respond to the motions to dismiss by 5 p.m. Thursday. No candidate has been removed from the ballot, and Peltola's campaign continues to deny involvement in recruiting Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
Source: Juneau Independent →Thursday, October 29, 2026Outside spending
A super PAC formed in September spent $380,000 against Ken Paxton — and nobody knows who paid for it
Real American Values PAC registered with the FEC on September 3, 2026, and on October 27 spent $380,226 on direct mail opposing Ken Paxton in Texas's Senate race, per its FEC independent-expenditure report. Its campaign-finance reports through October 14 show just $175 in total receipts, so whoever funded the mail arrived after that date and stays hidden until the post-general report due December 3 — after Election Day. Its treasurer, Keith Konnerth, runs two other super PACs from the same Claymont, Delaware mail-drop address — one that spent $588,000 in Alaska races and one spending in New Hampshire's Senate race — a shared-paperwork pattern that does not by itself prove common funders.
Source: FEC filings (committee C00960757) →Thursday, October 29, 2026Outside spending
Two-week-old Nebraska super PAC spends $192,544 boosting a 1% candidate while attacking Dan Osborn
Sandhills Education Fund registered with the FEC on October 13, 2026, and on October 26 spent $192,544 in Nebraska's Senate race, per its FEC independent-expenditure filing: the same ads support Robin Richards, a minor-party candidate polling around 1%, and oppose Dan Osborn, the main challenger to Sen. Pete Ricketts. Boosting a minor candidate while attacking the leading challenger is the shape of a spoiler-support operation, though the group's intent is not documented. It has filed no report disclosing any donors; as a quarterly filer, its funders would first appear in the post-general report due December 3.
Source: FEC filings (committee C00963553) →Wednesday, October 28, 2026Party committees
Senate Leadership Fund adds $24 million in North Carolina, bringing its NC-Sen total to $105 million
Senate Leadership Fund, the Senate Republican leadership's super PAC, announced an additional $24 million for the closing week of the North Carolina Senate race between Sen. Thom Tillis (R) and former Gov. Roy Cooper (D) — $19 million for television from October 27 through Election Day plus $5 million for radio, digital, streaming and direct mail. The addition brings SLF's total North Carolina spending to $105 million, which the group calls the largest Senate-race investment in its history.
Source: Senate Leadership Fund →Wednesday, October 28, 2026Election news
Israel Election: Every Scenario From Here
With about three quarters of Israel's vote counted, Netanyahu's bloc leads 54 to 47 — still short of the 61 needed to govern — and the Arab parties hold a record 19 seats. PoliVion lays out the six ways this can end, what it means for America, and why a US money-in-politics site is covering this one election: https://polivion.com/israel-election-scenarios/
Source: PoliVion →Wednesday, October 28, 2026Outside spending
Honest Choice Maine's $500K traced to Conservative Americans PAC — itself funded by a dark-money nonprofit
The funding chain behind Honest Choice Maine, the pop-up super PAC that spent $287K in Maine's Senate race ($195K against Democrat Troy Jackson, $38K for Republican Susan Collins), is now documented one level up. Its Pre-General report (filed Oct 22) itemizes a single receipt: $500,000 on Oct 5 from Conservative Americans PAC (FEC #C00855924), a super PAC run by treasurer Charles Gantt (Bulldog Compliance, Beverly, MA). Conservative Americans PAC's own filings show it is funded almost entirely by the American Prosperity Alliance — a 501(c)(4) 'dark money' nonprofit whose donors are not disclosed — including a $27.8 million contribution on Dec 24, 2025 and more than $30 million this cycle in total; the Senate Leadership Fund also gave it $895,000. The same Conservative Americans PAC bankrolled a network of sham 'progressive' PACs (Lead Left, Real Change PAC, California Blue, Progressive Champions) that meddled in Democratic primaries. Honest Choice Maine leaves PoliVion's donor watchlist; the trail ends at the Alliance's hidden donors.
Source: FEC filings (Honest Choice Maine Pre-General, Schedule A; Conservative Americans PAC receipts) →Wednesday, October 28, 2026Election news
A Second Dan Sullivan on Alaska's Ballot — and a DOJ Lawsuit to Block Certification
The New York Times reported Oct 28 that aides to Democratic nominee Mary Peltola, working with the campaign's lawyers and senior staff at the DSCC, spent months recruiting two spoiler candidates into Alaska's U.S. Senate race: Daniel J. Sullivan Jr., a retired teacher who shares incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan's name, and Gerald Heikes, who replaced a progressive candidate after he was urged to withdraw. Peltola's former campaign manager told the Times she was aware of the effort but not directly involved. Peltola's campaign says it has "no involvement with either Sullivan campaign," and the DSCC denies involvement. The Justice Department sued last week to block Alaska from certifying the result if Sullivan narrowly loses, citing voter confusion — the first pre-emptive certification challenge of the 2026 cycle — and President Trump has called for Peltola to leave the race and be prosecuted. The race is rated a Tossup; ranked-choice tabulation is scheduled for Nov 18.
Source: Reuters (on New York Times reporting) →Tuesday, October 27, 2026Election news
Election Day in Israel: The Treason Complaint, the Warrant, and the Trial
Israel votes today, and Benjamin Netanyahu goes into the election accused by former defense minister Avigdor Liberman of treason — a formal complaint to the attorney general over reports he pressed the military toward an Iran escalation on the eve of the vote — atop the documented record of October 7 warnings his government received and dismissed. He is also wanted by the International Criminal Court, with UN investigators and the world's genocide scholars finding Israel's campaign in Gaza meets the Genocide Convention on all five prohibited acts; he is on trial in absentia in Istanbul and in the sixth year of a corruption trial at home. PoliVion's report: 'Election Day in Israel: The Treason Complaint, the Warrant, and the Trial.'
Source: PoliVion →Tuesday, October 27, 2026Election news
Election Night in Israel: Netanyahu Lost His Majority
The exit polls from all three Israeli TV channels agree: Netanyahu's bloc won 50 seats, the opposition 52 to 53, and the Arab parties a record 17 to 18 — nobody has the 61 needed to govern. In plain terms: what losing means for Netanyahu, for Ben Gvir, and for the trial waiting for him.
Source: PoliVion →Tuesday, October 27, 2026Party committees
Senate Leadership Fund books $5.9 million in Iowa Senate ads for the final week
Senate Leadership Fund booked $5,914,913 in new Iowa television reservations starting October 28, according to ad-tracking firm AdImpact — the largest single Iowa buy of the final stretch, in the open-seat race between Ashley Hinson (R) and Josh Turek (D). Hinson's campaign directly holds a further $2.15 million in reservations.
Source: AdImpact →Tuesday, October 27, 2026Election news
Indivisible launches $1.2 million final-week field program across seven battlegrounds
Indivisible announced a $1.2 million get-out-the-vote program for the final eight days — canvassing, relational organizing and texting aimed at infrequent Democratic voters in North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, New Hampshire, Virginia, Wisconsin and Maine, including door-knocking for Roy Cooper (NC-Sen), Jon Ossoff (GA-Sen), Ruben Gallego (AZ-Sen) and House candidates Rebecca Cooke (WI-03) and Christina Bohannan (IA-01).
Source: Indivisible →Tuesday, October 27, 2026Party committees
House Majority PAC runs Epstein-files ads against Republican House incumbents in at least four states
House Majority PAC is running ads demanding release of the Epstein files against Republican House candidates in the final two weeks, including Rep. Nick Begich in Alaska. FEC records cited by Fox News show district-wide HMP purchases of $543,300 in Alaska's at-large district, $2.06 million in Pennsylvania's 1st, $628,000 in Pennsylvania's 8th and $550,150 in Arizona's 2nd; a separate account put HMP spending in an Iowa district at $480,000, with reports differing on whether that buy was in the 2nd or 3rd District.
Source: Fox News →Tuesday, October 27, 2026Party committees
House Majority PAC launches new TV ad in Colorado's 3rd District
House Majority PAC announced a new television ad in Colorado's 3rd District hitting Rep. Jeff Hurd over tariffs and the war in Iran and praising Democrat Alex Romero's military background, as October outside spending in the race climbed — including about $320,000 from Civic Renewal Fund and $213,000 from American Conservation Coalition PAC backing Hurd, per Aspen Journalism's review of filings.
Source: Aspen Journalism →Monday, October 26, 2026Outside spending
New super PAC 'Choose Freedom' spends $1,304,215 against Adam Hamilton in Kansas Senate race
Choose Freedom PAC (C00961656), a Mountain Brook, Alabama super PAC with treasurer Kaylen Melton, reported $1,304,215 in independent expenditures opposing Democrat Adam Hamilton in the Kansas Senate race — $1,297,195 in media placement via Strategic Media Placement Inc plus $7,020 in media production, disseminated October 24 and filed October 25. Its October quarterly report (filed October 15, covering September 15-30) showed $10,000,000 in itemized individual contributions and $9,244,084 in disbursements (including $5,000,000 in contributions to other committees), but only $755,916 in cash on hand on September 30 — less than this single October buy — so at least part of the money behind the Kansas ads arrived in October and will not be disclosed until the post-general report due December 3.
Source: FEC — Choose Freedom PAC (C00961656) filings and independent-expenditure data →Monday, October 26, 2026Party committees
House Majority PAC places $1.24 million in new TV buys in Indiana's 5th and Minnesota's 1st Districts
House Majority PAC announced $1.24 million in new television buys with eight days until Election Day: $380,000 in Indiana's 5th District (Rep. Victoria Spartz) and $860,000 in Minnesota's 1st District (Rep. Brad Finstad) — both districts Donald Trump won by double digits. HMP President Mike Smith said Democrats are expanding the map and pushing Republicans onto defense. (Correction, Oct 28 audit: an earlier version of this item overstated the total as $2.54 million; HMP's own release states $1.24 million.)
Source: House Majority PAC →Sunday, October 25, 2026Outside spending
A super PAC with almost no disclosed money spent $1.5 million against El-Sayed in Michigan's Senate race
Empowering Black Americans PAC, a Dallas-based super PAC, reported $1,538,000 in independent expenditures in three transactions — all opposing Democrat Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan's Senate race. Its FEC reports through September 30 showed only $25,000 in contributions for the whole cycle, so whoever funded the October ad campaign will not be disclosed until the post-general report, due December 3 — after the election. The PAC's treasurer, Cassie Tinsmon, is also treasurer of record for the J Street Action Fund; that is a shared compliance-paperwork role, and no funding or coordination link between the two committees is documented.
Source: FEC — Empowering Black Americans PAC (C00882431) filings and independent-expenditure data →Sunday, October 25, 2026AIPAC / UDP
The 'Black empowerment' PAC attacking El-Sayed is run by AIPAC's own people
Empowering Black Americans PAC, which has spent $1,538,000 against Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan's Senate race, is the related super PAC of the National Black Empowerment Action Fund — whose president sits on AIPAC's national council and whose senior adviser ran AIPAC's African American outreach for five years. The PAC's documented funders are pro-Israel megadonors Daniel Loeb and Ronald Lauder ($100,000 each in 2024) and AIPAC donor Herbert Shear ($25,000 in 2026); whoever paid for its October campaign is undisclosed until December 3. Its ads never mention Israel.
Source: Jewish Currents →Sunday, October 25, 2026AIPAC / UDP
The 'pro-choice' PAC attacking Mai Vang is funded by AIPAC's super PAC pipeline
Pro-Choice Majority Action filed $300,000 against Mai Vang (CA-07) on October 24, backing Rep. Doris Matsui. Per FEC filings verified by PoliVion, the PAC — formed May 1, 2026 — has received $5,570,000 from its affiliate EDW Action Fund and under $35,000 from everyone else combined; EDW's largest outside donor is AIPAC's super PAC, United Democracy Project, at $2,350,000 this cycle. AIPAC publicly denied the passthrough label: 'not every dollar spent to defeat extremist candidates comes from AIPAC.'
Source: Sludge →Sunday, October 25, 2026Election news
Brazil re-elects Lula — the president Israel banned — over Netanyahu's pick
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won Brazil's presidential runoff 51.8% to 48.2% over Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, after losing the first round. Bolsonaro had pledged to move Brazil's embassy to Jerusalem within six months, restore full ties with Israel, and join Milei's pro-Israel 'Isaac Accords'; Netanyahu called to congratulate him after round one and wished him a 'great victory.' Lula — declared persona non grata by Israel in 2024 for calling Gaza a genocide, whose government recalled Brazil's ambassador, refused Israel's nominee, and joined South Africa's ICJ case — never softened a word of it. PoliVion's report: 'Brazil Chose the Man Israel Banned.'
Source: PoliVion →Saturday, October 24, 2026Outside spending
Democratic-aligned 'Stronger Nation' spends $550,003 across eight Senate races in the final stretch
Stronger Nation (C00898999), a Los Angeles-based hybrid PAC registered in March 2025, reported $550,003 in independent expenditures across eight Senate races, all disseminated October 22 via Democratic digital firm Rising Tide Interactive: supporting James Talarico and opposing Ken Paxton in Texas ($216,868), and backing Sherrod Brown in Ohio, Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan, Annie Andrews in South Carolina, Josh Turek in Iowa, Adam Hamilton in Kansas, Dan Osborn in Nebraska, and Troy Jackson in Maine. The PAC had reported no contributions at all through October 14, so the money behind the ads is undisclosed until its post-general report, due December 3; its only disclosed funder ever is the Chicago 501(c)(4) Rapid Resist Action ($130,000 in 2025).
Source: FEC committee filings (C00898999) →Saturday, October 24, 2026Outside spending
New 'ROCC PAC' spends $190,000 against Sherrod Brown in Ohio; funders hidden until December
ROCC PAC (C00959692), an IE-only super PAC registered August 24, 2026 in Cincinnati, made its first expenditure on October 21: a $190,000 media buy opposing Sherrod Brown (D) in Ohio's Senate race, via Logan Circle Group. Its treasurer is Paul Reynolds of Langdon Law, a conservative Ohio election-law firm. The PAC's pre-general report showed just $2,500 raised through October 14, so the $190,000's funder arrived after that date and stays undisclosed until the post-general report, due December 3.
Source: FEC committee filings (C00959692) →Saturday, October 24, 2026Outside spending
'Our Heritage Matters' spends $404,000 boosting Libertarian and independent candidates against Republican incumbents
Our Heritage Matters (C00963736), a super PAC registered October 15, 2026 in Salt Lake City, has spent $404,084 on PoliVion-tracked races — and every candidate it supports is a Libertarian or independent running against a Republican: Thomas Laehn in IA-Sen ($214,257), David Graham in KS-Sen, Chris Royal in TX-34 and others, while it opposes Sen. Roger Marshall (R-KS), Aaron Flint (MT-1), Joe Mitchell (IA-2) and Rep. Gabe Evans (CO-8). The pattern benefits Democrats only by splitting the right-side vote. The PAC has filed no donor report of any kind, its sole vendor (Chase Grove LLC) has no public footprint, and its treasurer is a Salt Lake City compliance CPA — who is actually behind it is unknown, and its funders stay hidden until December 3.
Source: FEC committee filings (C00963736) →Saturday, October 24, 2026Outside spending
For Michigan Action Fund adds $268,000 in Michigan races, backing El-Sayed, Lawrence and McCann
For Michigan Action Fund (C00886093), a Democratic-aligned super PAC active since 2018, reported $268,098 in new independent expenditures, bringing its cycle total on PoliVion-tracked races to $525,584. The new spending supports William Lawrence (MI-7, $263,690 cycle total), Abdul El-Sayed (MI-Sen, $146,716) and Sean McCann (MI-4), and opposes Mike Rogers (MI-Sen) and Tom Barrett (MI-7). Its donors are disclosed in regular FEC reports, including labor and Democratic-aligned funders.
Source: FEC committee filings (C00886093) →Saturday, October 24, 2026Outside spending
Americans for an Efficient Government PAC doubles down in KS-4 with a second $100,000 buy against Katy Tyndell
Americans for an Efficient Government PAC (C00946186), the April-registered pop-up that made its first-ever expenditure on October 21, filed a second $100,000 buy opposing Katy Tyndell (D) in Kansas's 4th District on October 23 (disseminated October 24, via Medium Buying), bringing its total to $365,274. The committee had raised only $63,500 through September 30, so the roughly $300,000 behind its October ads remains undisclosed until its year-end report, due January 31, 2027.
Source: FEC committee filings (C00946186) →Saturday, October 24, 2026Party committees
Elon Musk passes $442 million in midterm giving, adding $76.8M to America PAC in October
New FEC filings show Elon Musk contributed another $76.8 million to his America PAC over roughly one week in October, taking his total 2026 midterm giving past $442 million — the largest individual total in U.S. history, per The Hill's tally. The total includes $158 million given in September to the Senate Leadership Fund, which passed it through to a Texas super PAC backing Ken Paxton, plus $20 million to a House GOP super PAC. Democrat James Talarico accused Musk of trying to buy a Senate seat in Texas.
Source: Newsmax (AP, citing The Hill) →Friday, October 23, 2026Outside spending
Trump-aligned super PACs spend millions defending once-safe Republican House seats
MAGA Inc., Trump's main super PAC, reported $300.5M in disbursements through Oct 14 and still held $164.3M, routing $200M to No Going Back PAC and $25M to Safety & Affordability PAC. Safety & Affordability is defending Republicans in AZ-01, ME-02, WI-03, NC-01, OH-10, PA-08, OH-09 and MI-07; No Going Back has spent ~$5M each in MI-04 and NC-11, $14.4M combined in FL-14 and FL-25, and roughly $79M across the MI, OH, NH and NC Senate races. Meanwhile the Congressional Leadership Fund has stopped advertising in IA-01, NJ-07, MI-08 and OH-01.
Source: CNBC (via Kalkine reprint) →Friday, October 23, 2026Election news
KFile: Mike Collins joked about pushing Pelosi from a plane, suggested hanging US leaders
A CNN KFile review of Rep. Mike Collins' past posts found an August 2021 tweet suggesting American military and political leaders deserved to be hanged from a helicopter, and a July 2021 radio appearance where he joked about pushing then-House Speaker Nancy Pelosi out of an airplane — part of a broader pattern of downplaying January 6 and promoting extrajudicial-killing rhetoric. The Collins campaign did not respond to CNN's request for comment; the story lands as Collins faces Jon Ossoff in the Georgia Senate race.
Source: CNN →Friday, October 23, 2026AIPAC / UDP
J Street launches first general-election ad of 2026, targeting Mike Collins in Georgia Senate
J Street's independent-expenditure arm launched a nearly half-million-dollar campaign attacking Collins over his ties to white nationalists and backing Sen. Jon Ossoff — its 'first general election ad of the 2026 cycle.' The release notes that AIPAC maintained its House endorsement of Collins and continues to promote him on its website, even after ending its own endorsement program.
Source: J Street →Friday, October 23, 2026Outside spending
Fight on Iowa drops $1.59M against Josh Turek in Iowa Senate — a 22% escalation
Fight on Iowa (C00904482) filed a $1,590,158 independent expenditure opposing Josh Turek (D) in the Iowa Senate race on Oct 21, via Flexpoint Media — adding roughly 22% to its prior $7.3M cycle total against Turek. The committee's donors remain partially undisclosed until the Post-General report (due Dec 3).
Source: FEC filing (F24, image 202610219928481843) →Friday, October 23, 2026Outside spending
Protect Our Family Values Action doubles its anti-Wellman buy in MO-2 to $220K
Protect Our Family Values Action (C00929257) filed a second $120,035 independent expenditure opposing Fred Wellman (D) in Missouri's 2nd District on Oct 21, via Del Cielo Media — bringing its total anti-Wellman spending to $220,070. The committee held just $23,905 cash on Sept 30, so the October funding behind both buys stays hidden until the Post-General report (due Dec 3).
Source: FEC filing (F24, image 202610219921460047) →Friday, October 23, 2026Outside spending
Tim Scott-aligned super PAC drops $744K against Annie Andrews in SC-Sen
Great Opportunity PAC — the super PAC aligned with Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC), who chairs the NRSC this cycle — reported a $744,000 independent expenditure opposing Democrat Annie Andrews on Oct 22: media placement and production through GOP firm Gen2 Solutions LLC, disseminated Oct 21. The PAC's war chest is fully disclosed: billionaire Jeff Yass ($1.25M this cycle), Charleston billionaire Benjamin Navarro ($500K), and $2.36M cash on hand at Sept 30. No undisclosed funder behind this spend.
Source: FEC filing (F24) →Friday, October 23, 2026Outside spending
New pop-up super PAC spends $265K against Tyndell in KS-4 — its October funders are hidden
Americans for an Efficient Government PAC (registered April 2026) spent $265,274 on television ads opposing Democrat Katy Tyndell in Kansas' 4th District, per a 24-hour FEC filing Oct 22 — its first-ever independent expenditure, placed through Columbus-based Medium Buying. Through September the PAC had raised only $63,500 (seeded by $25,000 from the oil-industry-backed Conservatives for America PAC), so the ~$200K+ in October funders behind this buy won't be disclosed until the year-end report. Tyndell challenges incumbent Rep. Ron Estes in a Solid-R district.
Source: FEC filing (Form 24) →Friday, October 23, 2026Outside spending
Detroit progressive network's super PAC spends $147K supporting El-Sayed in MI-Sen
Michigan Action Federal Super PAC — tied by staff, address and email to the Detroit Action community organization and the Center for Popular Democracy network — reported $146,805 in print-and-mail spending supporting Abdul El-Sayed on a 24-hour FEC report filed Oct 22. Unusually, the spending is pro-El-Sayed, not anti; with ~$2,500 cash on hand and no itemized 2026 donors, whoever funded the buy won't be disclosed until the post-general report due around Dec 3. Detroit Action has publicly backed a Gaza ceasefire.
Source: FEC filing (Form 24) →Friday, October 23, 2026Outside spending
Mystery corporation Magnolia Project Inc. spends $100K for Colom in MS-Sen — may never disclose donors
"Magnolia Project Inc.," a corporation with no website, no public officers and no prior FEC history, reported $100,000 in digital ads supporting Democrat Scott Colom on Oct 22 — $63,000 for placement through Democratic firm TargetSmart Communications and $37,000 for production through Digitally Detailed Inc., another company with no public footprint. Because it files as an independent-expenditure filer rather than a PAC, it may never have to disclose where its money came from. The buy lands amid a late outside-spending surge in the race, with Senate Majority PAC's $1.2M pro-Colom campaign launching this week.
Source: FEC independent expenditure data →Friday, October 23, 2026AIPAC / UDP
AIPAC's super PAC sent about $9 million to a pro-Rogers group in Michigan — timed so voters won't see it in filings until after Election Day
The Washington Post reports that AIPAC's super PAC, the United Democracy Project, gave around $9 million over the past week to a group supporting Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan's Senate race — money first reported by the New York Times as flowing to the Great Lakes Conservatives Fund, which has disclosed a $4.6 million Michigan media buy. The transfer came after the FEC's October 14 disclosure deadline, the last one before the general election, so it will not appear in public filings until after voters have cast their ballots. It is an unusual move for AIPAC, which has rarely backed a Republican in a competitive general election, and it lands in the same week AIPAC announced it is ending candidate endorsements and direct PAC contributions while keeping the super PAC.
Source: Washington Post (via Jewish World Review reprint) →Thursday, October 22, 2026Party committees
Senate GOP super PAC makes first Mississippi ad reservation to shore up Hyde-Smith
Senate Leadership Fund, the top Republican Senate super PAC, booked an initial $160,000 in Mississippi advertising on Thursday, per AdImpact data cited by CNN, with more spending expected to defend incumbent Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith. The buy answers Senate Majority PAC's $1.2M ad campaign for Democrat Scott Colom — a sign the deep-red seat is drawing late outside money from both sides.
Source: Political Wire (via CNN) →Thursday, October 22, 2026AIPAC / UDP
Sanders and AIPAC trade barbs over Michigan Senate race as UDP targets El-Sayed
Sen. Bernie Sanders publicly clashed with AIPAC over the Michigan Senate race after the Oct 21 El-Sayed–Rogers debate, where El-Sayed called Rogers 'an AIPAC-backed politician.' Rogers said at the Oct 8 debate he would 'take all of that help,' and United Democracy Project is airing attack ads questioning El-Sayed's loyalty; AIPAC declined to comment. The New York Times puts UDP's total congressional spending this cycle at about $85 million.
Source: Newsmax →Thursday, October 22, 2026Outside spending
DMFI names its October donors — just $2.3K in small-dollar gifts; $1K went to Gillen (NY-04)
Democratic Majority for Israel's PAC filed its 12-day pre-general report: October donations total only $2,262, all from eight small-dollar individuals earmarked through ActBlue — no major new funder. October outlays were $49.4K, including a $1,000 contribution to Rep. Laura Gillen (NY-04) and $44K in operating/IE-adjacent spending; cash on hand Oct 14 was $504.7K. Donors disclosed — removed from the donor watchlist.
Source: FEC (filed report) →Thursday, October 22, 2026Outside spending
Anti-Dandiya super PAC names its $330K funders — then spends another $326K against her
Stronger America Together's pre-general report itemizes all $330,000 in October donations: MSIHC LLC ($175K, Naples FL) leads, plus GLS Brokerage ($40K), Shankaran Nair ($35K), Jeremy Najjar ($30K), Samuel Dorf ($25K) and Majestic Mirror & Frame ($25K). Every dollar of its $62.5K in reported outlays opposed Pia Dandiya (FL-22) — and new 24-hour reports show another ~$326K in anti-Dandiya spending since Oct 14. Donors disclosed — removed from the donor watchlist.
Source: FEC (filed report) →Thursday, October 22, 2026Outside spending
Correction: Wilderness Action filed on time — and its $779K comes from green groups plus HMP
Correction to last night's item: the environmental super PAC's October Monthly was received Oct 20, before the deadline — it was never overdue (an FEC processing lag hid it). The filing discloses $779,168 in donors: The Wilderness Society Action Fund ($476K), NRDC Action ($100K), LCV Victory Fund ($100K), House Majority PAC ($75K in-kind polling) and Midwest Values PAC ($15K). A new $20.9K buy opposes Pete Stauber (MN-8). Donors disclosed — removed from the donor watchlist.
Source: FEC (filed report) →Thursday, October 22, 2026Outside spending
Correction: TFM was never late — Q3 donors are GLCF Inc ($50K) and American Unity PAC ($25K); new $517K Michigan buy
Correction: TFM's October Quarterly was filed on time Oct 15 — it was never 7 days overdue. Q3 donors: GLCF Inc ($50K), American Unity PAC ($25K) and four individuals ($8.8K). Meanwhile a new 24-hour report shows $517,280 in Michigan Senate spending on Oct 20: $413,824 opposing Abdul El-Sayed plus $103,456 supporting Mike Rogers. October funding behind the new buy stays hidden until the pre-general report, which is not yet filed.
Source: FEC (filed report) →Thursday, October 22, 2026Outside spending
Pro-Paxton super PAC's $199K came from one Montana LLC; October $210K buy's funding stays hidden
Constitutional Vanguard's filed quarterly names its sole Q3 donor: VanHornLTD LLC of Kalispell, Montana ($199,100 on Sep 22). The new super PAC's $210,000 pro-Ken Paxton (TX-Sen) buy was funded in October, which won't be disclosed until the post-general report due Dec 3. It stays on the donor watchlist.
Source: FEC (filed report) →Thursday, October 22, 2026Outside spending
J Street opens a second front: $279K against Rep. Ryan Mackenzie (PA-7)
J Street Action Fund filed a $278,582 independent-expenditure report opposing Rep. Ryan Mackenzie (R) in Pennsylvania's 7th — $234,750 in digital ads plus $43,832 in production, via Gambit Strategies and 4C Partners. It's the second filed front of J Street's announced $3M campaign against AIPAC-endorsed GOP incumbents, after the $470K anti-Mike Collins (GA-Sen) buy. Its pre-general donor report, due today, was not filed as of this evening — October donors remain hidden.
Source: FEC (24-hour report) →Thursday, October 22, 2026Outside spending
Bipartisan 'governance' super PAC drops another $171K against Rutinel (CO-8), Luria (VA-2)
The Governing Majority Fund, an established multi-cycle super PAC, filed $86,538 opposing Manny Rutinel (CO-8) and $84,104 opposing Elaine Luria (VA-2) — spending against the Democratic challenger in VA-2, effectively backing the GOP incumbent. Its donors are disclosed: unions (ALPA $425K, LIUNA $400K), Chevron ($250K), Paul Singer ($200K) and the Tuesday Group PAC ($120K).
Source: FEC filings →Thursday, October 22, 2026Outside spending
VoteVets vehicle drops $675K supporting Angie Nixon in Florida Senate special
TD PAC, a super PAC whose donors are VoteVets Action Fund ($350K) and Barbara Stiefel ($50K), filed a $675,000 independent-expenditure buy supporting Democrat Angie Nixon in the Florida Senate special, via vendor Technicolor Political. The race has drawn heavy outside money on both sides.
Source: FEC (24-hour report) →Thursday, October 22, 2026Outside spending
SMP-funded pop-up adds $350K against Honeycutt (SC-1); $719K cycle across six House races
The American Democracy Project, a super PAC registered in July and anchored by $300K from Senate Majority PAC, filed another $350,000 opposing Jenny Costa Honeycutt (SC-1) — bringing its cycle total to $719K, nearly all negative spending against Republican House candidates (Gruters FL-16, Feely AZ-1, Lawler NY-17, Constantino NY-21) plus $34.6K supporting Tom Suozzi (NY-3). Donors are disclosed; no watchlist add.
Source: FEC filings →Thursday, October 22, 2026Outside spending
New anti-Perry PAC drops $250K in PA-10 — its funders stay hidden until December
Fix the Bench, a new hybrid PAC tied to the small-dollar Stop Republican Judges operation, filed a $250,000 digital ad buy opposing Rep. Scott Perry (PA-10) via Evolve Media. The buy was obligated Oct 15 — one day after the pre-general coverage period — so its funders won't be disclosed until the post-general report due Dec 3, after the election. Added to the donor watchlist.
Source: FEC (24-hour report) →Thursday, October 22, 2026Outside spending
Anti-Spartz PAC hits $765K — funded by $500K from the Democratic dark-money network
Commonsense Hoosiers PAC added $153K against Rep. Victoria Spartz (IN-5), bringing its cycle total to $764,680. Its October quarterly shows $500K of $503K raised came from Government That Works PAC, whose own funders include the Arabella-managed Sixteen Thirty Fund ($4M). Spartz's campaign has sent two cease-and-desist letters over the PAC's stock-trading attack ads. The donor chain is disclosed — news item only.
Source: IndyStar →Thursday, October 22, 2026Outside spending
Beshear's PAC adds $100K against Alvarado in KY-6 — $600K cycle
In This Together PAC, Gov. Andy Beshear's super PAC, filed another $100,000 opposing Ralph Alvarado (KY-6), bringing its cycle total to $600,000. Its major funders are disclosed (Ashish Patel ~$1M, Andrew Schwartzberg and Deborah Simon $500K+ each). The race has drawn over $6.2M in outside spending.
Source: Kentucky Lantern →Thursday, October 22, 2026Outside spending
HRC launches $1M campaign for Scott Wiener in CA-11
The Human Rights Campaign announced a $1 million digital and mail ad campaign ('Scott Made Room for Us') supporting Scott Wiener in California's 11th — the open Pelosi seat. The FEC-reported portion so far is $767,059. An unusually large single-race buy for the established LGBTQ+ organization, but publicly announced with the ad title, budget and voter target — nothing hidden.
Source: HRC press release →Thursday, October 22, 2026AIPAC / UDP
AIPAC halts endorsements as its super PAC keeps spending — now against El-Sayed in Michigan's general election
AIPAC announced Oct 21 it will no longer issue endorsements, make direct PAC contributions or earmark funds for candidates. But its super PAC, the United Democracy Project, keeps spending: in recent days its independent expenditures have been used to campaign against Abdul El-Sayed, the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Michigan — on top of the $20.1M it spent opposing him in the primary. UDP raised $110M+ and spent $80M+ through Sept 30, so the pivot shifts, rather than ends, AIPAC-linked spending.
Source: NPR (via KRVS reprint) →Thursday, October 22, 2026AIPAC / UDP
DMFI to spend $7 million backing Reps. Don Davis and Shomari Figures
Democratic Majority for Israel (DMFI) will spend $7 million to support Reps. Don Davis (NC-01) and Shomari Figures (AL-02), according to Jewish Insider reporting summarized in FMEP's October 23 legislative round-up. Both incumbents are AIPAC-backed Democrats in redrawn, more Republican districts. The commitment is DMFI's largest announced general-election play and lands in the final two weeks before November 3.
Source: Jewish Insider (via FMEP Legislative Round-Up, Oct 23, 2026) →Thursday, October 22, 2026Party committees
Party committees blow past old coordinated-spending caps: Republicans $126M over, Democrats $46M over
Since the Supreme Court struck down coordinated-spending limits in June, Republican party committees have outspent the old caps by more than $126 million and Democratic committees by more than $46 million, with $129 million of the coordinated spending landing in September alone after the FCC extended candidate discount ad rates to party committees. The NRSC, NRCC and RNC ended September with about $187 million in cash on hand against roughly $100 million for their Democratic counterparts, according to FEC filings reported by U.S. News.
Source: U.S. News (syndicated report, Oct 21-22, 2026) →Wednesday, October 21, 2026Election news
IDF detains NY-10 nominee Brad Lander during West Bank olive harvest, 13 days before Election Day
Brad Lander, the Democratic nominee in NY-10 and a former NYC comptroller, was among about 90 rabbis and volunteers detained by Israeli forces on Oct 21 while accompanying Palestinian farmers to the olive harvest near Bethlehem with Rabbis for Human Rights, according to Reuters. Lander posted from a bus: “The occupation is a crime under international law. Harvesting olives isn’t a crime under any law I know.” He was released later the same day — by his account, with a warning, because of his public profile; the IDF said he was released once the matter was brought to its attention — the first detainee freed. By evening, police said 72 of the detainees had been released, some on conditions; four foreign nationals still face a deportation hearing on Thursday. A US Embassy spokesperson said it was aware of reports that US citizens had been detained. Israel’s Foreign Ministry called the harvest a “calculated political provocation” and claimed Lander’s team had been explicitly warned that coordination was required; Lander replied: “The Israeli Foreign Ministry is lying.” It is Lander’s second detention in 16 months: ICE agents arrested him at Manhattan immigration court in June 2025 while he escorted a defendant; he was released hours later and never charged. Election Day is Nov 3 and NY early voting opens Oct 24. PoliVion’s analysis: polivion.com/brad-lander-detained/
Source: Reuters →Wednesday, October 21, 2026Outside spending
Retire Career Politicians discloses its donors — and $1.3M in new October attack ads
The anti-incumbent super PAC's October Monthly report names its September funders: $100,000 from individual Brennan Bilberry plus $1M in committee transfers (Western Futures Fund $350K, Government That Works PAC $250K, Opportunity Action Fund $200K, Fight For Nebraska PAC $81K, Way Back PAC $50K). The same filing cycle shows about $1.32M in new October independent expenditures: $365K opposing Pete Ricketts (NE-Sen), $174K opposing Mike Rounds (SD-Sen), and ~$780K in the NE-1 Flood/Backemeyer fight. An FEC request for more information on two earlier donations remains unanswered.
Source: FEC (committee filings) →Wednesday, October 21, 2026Outside spending
First Principles Digital's October report: one small donor, plus new candidate contributions
The Lummis-linked pro-crypto PAC's October Monthly shows just $14,505 in September receipts — a $14,500 transfer from the Barry Moore Victory joint fundraising committee (underlying donors Maya Gabbay, Joseph Quintilian, James W. Rane Sr.) plus bank interest. It also made direct candidate contributions: $500 to Husted for Senate (OH-Sen), $3,500 to Ashley for Iowa (IA-Sen), and $15,000 to Leadership in Action. Cash on hand: $488K.
Source: FEC (committee filings) →Wednesday, October 21, 2026Outside spending
Black Voters Matter Action PAC discloses donors: SEIU 1199 put up $350K
The amended Q3 report names $401,642 in receipts, led by 1199 SEIU United Healthcare Workers East Federal PAC ($350,000) and Movement Voter PAC ($50,000), plus small donors. Its $300K Florida Senate two-sided blitz — $150K opposing Ashley Moody and $150K supporting Joshua Nixon, disseminated Oct 20 — was reported separately on 24-hour filings.
Source: FEC (committee filings) →Wednesday, October 21, 2026AIPAC / UDP
J Street fires its first $470K shot against an AIPAC-endorsed incumbent — and its $2.05M in party-committee outflows is identified
J Street Action Fund's October Monthly (filed Oct 19) shows no itemized October donors — just $51.55 unitemized — but its $2.05M in earlier committee outflows is now documented: $1.05M to House Majority PAC and $1M to Senate Majority PAC (Feb–Mar 2026). Separately, a $470,000 independent expenditure opposing Rep. Mike Collins (GA-Sen), disseminated Oct 13 via Gambit Strategies, is the first filed piece of J Street's announced $3M general-election campaign against five AIPAC-endorsed GOP incumbents. The Pre-General report due Oct 22 should reveal who is funding that campaign.
Source: FEC (committee filings) →Wednesday, October 21, 2026Outside spending
Dark-money 527 drops another $81K in pro-Suozzi mail in NY-3 — funders still hidden
The Center for Democratic Priorities, a 527 with no FEC committee registration and no scheduled donor report, filed a second Form 5 on Oct 20: $80,875 in direct mail supporting Rep. Tom Suozzi (NY-03), disseminated Oct 19 via Mission Control Inc (calendar year-to-date $191,186). The filing reports $0 in contributions received — its funders may never be FEC-disclosed.
Source: FEC (Form 5 filing) →Wednesday, October 21, 2026Outside spending
Wilderness Action's October donor report is now overdue
The environmental super PAC's October Monthly report was due Oct 20 at 11:59 PM ET; as of this evening no F3X of any kind has ever been filed, while its 24-hour independent-expenditure reports keep coming (latest received Oct 20). Its donors remain fully hidden across races in MN-8, AZ-1 and NM-2.
Source: FEC (committee filings) →Wednesday, October 21, 2026AIPAC / UDP
AIPAC ends candidate endorsements and direct PAC contributions after three cycles
In a letter to members first reported by CNBC, AIPAC said its PAC will no longer endorse candidates or make direct PAC contributions and earmarked donations, reversing the approach it adopted in 2021. The group will keep operating its United Democracy Project super PAC while shifting emphasis to mobilizing individual donors. The change could make AIPAC's influence less visible in FEC disclosures, since direct donations from individual members don't carry the AIPAC earmark attached to routed contributions.
Source: Washington Examiner →Wednesday, October 21, 2026Party committees
DCCC expands TV reservations into three Trump-won House districts: AZ-02, OH-10, SC-01
The DCCC is adding TV reservations in Arizona's 2nd (Eli Crane vs Jonathan Nez), Ohio's 10th (Mike Turner vs Kristina Knickerbocker), and South Carolina's 1st (Jenny Honeycutt vs Nancy Lacore) as part of a $16 million coordinated TV campaign. The committee is now spending, in coordination with Democratic candidates, in 49 House districts — two-thirds of which are currently held by Republicans.
Source: Washington Sun →Wednesday, October 21, 2026Party committees
Republican super PAC cuts ad spending for Miller-Meeks (IA-1) and Kean (NJ-7), retrenches into 16 GOP-held districts
The Congressional Leadership Fund, the super PAC aligned with GOP House leadership, canceled its spending for Reps. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (IA-1) and Tom Kean Jr. (NJ-7) last week. CLF also cut its efforts to unseat two Democratic incumbents in Trump-won districts while retrenching cash into 16 Republican-held districts — a triage move reflecting a shifting House map in the final two weeks.
Source: Washington Sun →Wednesday, October 21, 2026Party committees
Senate Majority PAC puts initial $1.2M behind Scott Colom in Mississippi Senate
Senate Majority PAC announced an initial $1.2 million in television statewide through Election Day to boost Democrat Scott Colom, another plunge by Democrats into deep-red territory amid a poor environment for Republicans. Colom outraised Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith last quarter.
Source: Politico (via Political Wire) →Wednesday, October 21, 2026Outside spending
New pro-Paxton super PAC doubles down in TX-Sen — donors hidden
Constitutional Vanguard Super PAC (C00960930), registered Sept 5, 2026, reported a new $210,000 media-production buy supporting Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate race (disseminated Oct 19, filed Oct 20), bringing its cycle total to $409,100 — all pro-Paxton, via vendor Provident Strategies Inc. Its October Quarterly (filed Oct 16) shows $199,100 raised and fully spent, but no itemized donor is currently visible in FEC data, and the new $210,000 buy's funding falls in the Post-General window, so it won't be disclosed until December.
Source: FEC (committee filings) →Wednesday, October 21, 2026Outside spending
Dem-leaning Three Star PAC adds $150K against Brent Taylor in TN-9
Three Star PAC (C00940049), a Democratic-leaning super PAC registered in February 2026, filed a 24-hour report Oct 20 for a new $150,000 digital-ad buy opposing Republican Brent Taylor in Tennessee's 9th District (Justin Pearson (D) vs. Taylor), via Waterfront Strategies. That brings its cycle total against Taylor to $326,800. Its donors are disclosed (including Year Up founder Gerald Chertavian); any new October donors will appear in its Pre-General report due Oct 22.
Source: FEC (committee filings) →Wednesday, October 21, 2026Outside spending
Latino group Maremoto's IE arm spends $92K more for Brown (OH-Sen), Brooks (PA-7)
Maremoto Action (C90023458), the independent-expenditure arm of Maremoto — a Latino power-building organization (somoselmaremoto.org) — filed Oct 20 reporting $71,679 in new digital/social spending supporting Sherrod Brown in the Ohio Senate race and $20,922 in direct mail supporting Bob Brooks in PA-7, via vendors Evolucion Strategies, Palette Media and others. That follows ~$51K for Brown filed Oct 11 and ~$329K for Randy Villegas (CA-22) in the spring. As a non-committee F5 filer it files no donor reports, so its funders are undisclosed.
Source: Maremoto (organization site) →Wednesday, October 21, 2026Outside spending
Mystery-funded super PAC drops $145K media buy against Dandiya in toss-up FL-22
Stronger America Together (C00959833), a super PAC registered Aug 25, 2026 and treasurered by Tampa compliance CPA Nancy Watkins, filed Oct 20 reporting a $145,000 media-placement buy (via Mentzer Media Services) plus ~$87,000 in new direct mail opposing Democrat Pia Dandiya in Florida's 22nd District (Casey Askar (R) vs. Dandiya — a Cook/Sabato Toss-up). The PAC runs the attack site piaexposed.com. Its Pre-General report (filed Oct 20) shows $330,000 raised Oct 1–14, but the donor names are not yet retrievable from FEC data; only $50,000 (from Prestige Foot & Ankle Center LLC) is itemized so far.
Source: The Floridian Press →Wednesday, October 21, 2026Outside spending
Unknown 'Conservatives for America' filer drops $100K pro-GOP ad across four House races
A brand-new independent-expenditure filer called 'Conservatives for America' (C90023870, Bethesda MD PO box) filed its first-ever FEC report Oct 20: a single $100,000 advertising buy via GOP firm Targeted Victory (disseminated Oct 19) supporting four House Republicans — Mike Carey (OH-15), Brad Finstad (MN-1), French Hill (AR-2), and Bryan Steil (WI-1). It is one $100,000 outlay, not $400,000 (a dual-purpose ad naming four candidates). No individual behind the filer is named in public FEC data, and F5 filers never file donor reports.
Source: FEC (committee filings) →Wednesday, October 21, 2026Outside spending
Established GOP super PAC Red Senate adds $150K across four Senate races
Red Senate (C00747121), a Republican super PAC active since 2020, added about $150,000 in new independent expenditures: in TX-Sen ($172,890 for Ken Paxton / $53,388 against James Talarico), MI-Sen ($94,409 for Mike Rogers / $80,188 against Abdul El-Sayed), ME-Sen ($13,163 for Susan Collins / $17,325 against Troy Jackson), plus $5,000 against Annie Andrews (SC-Sen). Recent buys ran through Disney Advertising and If It Is LLC (filed Oct 20). Its donors are disclosed (led by At-Bay Insurance and GOP law firms Holtzman Vogel and Jassy Vick Carolan).
Source: FEC (committee filings) →Wednesday, October 21, 2026Outside spending
Hoosier State Values PAC more than doubles IN-5 spending to $382K
Hoosier State Values PAC (C00962779) filed two 24-hour reports Oct 20 adding $213,406 in true new outlays in Indiana's 5th District (Victoria Spartz (R) vs. J.D. Ford (D)): a $90,000 digital buy opposing Spartz plus dual-purpose phone/text and mail programs backing Ford while hitting Spartz, all via Pinwheel Productions. Cycle spending is now $381,774 ($323,073 attributed against Spartz / $123,073 for Ford before dual-purpose collapsing). It has still filed no donor report; its Pre-General report is due Oct 22.
Source: FEC (committee filings) →Wednesday, October 21, 2026AIPAC / UDP
AIPAC ends endorsements, direct contributions and earmarking — and the money trail goes with them
CNBC reported Oct 21 that AIPAC, in a letter to members, will stop endorsing candidates, making direct PAC contributions, and earmarking routed donations — while its super PAC, United Democracy Project ($53.9M in independent expenditures this cycle), keeps operating and its staff keep “recommending contributions to candidates.” PoliVion’s analysis: ending earmarking deletes the paper trail that made $79.5M in AIPAC-linked direct contributions traceable candidate-by-candidate, pushing the money toward channels — untagged individual giving, pop-up PACs, dark-money 527s — where voters can’t see it. This November may be the last election with full receipts: polivion.com/aipac-ends-endorsements/
Source: PoliVion →Wednesday, October 21, 2026Election news
House Majority PAC memo: 'House battleground extends deep into Trump territory'
HMP's Oct 21 internal memo claims its polling shows Democrats competitive in 13 House districts Trump carried in 2024, releasing internal poll numbers for FL-13, IN-05, KY-06, MN-01, MO-02, MT-01, NC-09, NE-01, NV-02, NY-21, OH-15, TX-23 and TX-35 — all within single digits. Treat as partisan polling: it is HMP's own commissioned polling released to make the case for more fundraising, not independent data.
Source: House Majority PAC →Tuesday, October 20, 2026AIPAC / UDP
UDP's $55M war chest still sitting; J Street, DMFI, and anti-AIPAC groups place new general-election bets
AIPAC's super PAC entered September with $54.9 million in cash on hand but has disclosed only about $284,000 in general-election spending — mailers attacking Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan's Senate race — with its September monthly report due today and a pre-general report due Oct. 22. Meanwhile, the anti-AIPAC super PAC American Priorities spent $300,000 in October in Ohio's 15th District (backing Don Leonard, attacking incumbent Mike Carey) and $275,000 in Michigan's Senate race. J Street's super PAC reported $470,000 in digital ads against Mike Collins in Georgia's Senate race and on Oct. 20 announced new ads targeting AIPAC-endorsed Reps. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (IA-1) and Ryan Mackenzie (PA-7), while DMFI PAC spent $900,000 in late September backing Elaine Luria against Jen Kiggans in VA-2.
Source: Inside Political Money →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
Trump says he'll spend $400 million to boost Republicans in the midterms
President Trump posted on Truth Social on Oct. 20 that he has spent or will spend more than $400 million on advertising, voter contact, rallies, and other campaign activity to help Republicans keep the House and Senate — a figure not independently verified. The money runs through his aligned super PAC MAGA Inc., which reported $424 million in the bank through August. The pledge came as the AP reported Republicans have spent or reserved about $2.2 billion in political advertising since Sept. 1 versus $1.8 billion for Democrats, with outside groups spending over $1.2 billion in competitive congressional races, per a Washington Post analysis of AdImpact data.
Source: USA Today →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
Bloomberg spends $80 million in September and October backing Democrats
Former New York mayor Mike Bloomberg spent $80 million in September and October to help Democrats in the midterms, the New York Times reported Oct. 20 citing his team — making him one of the five largest individual Democratic donors of the cycle, per a CNBC analysis of FEC filings. At least $50 million is aimed at House races, including $16 million to House Majority PAC and $24 million to Everytown for Gun Safety; other disclosed allocations include $11 million for a super PAC backing Micah Lasher in NY-12, $5 million for a League of Conservation Voters super PAC, $2.5 million for James Talarico in the Texas Senate race, and $2.5 million for Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro's re-election.
Source: New York Post →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
Crypto billionaire's solar super PAC puts $250K more behind rewritten attack ad on Constantino in NY-21
The Invest in Tomorrow Coalition PAC, funded mainly by Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen ($6 million of the roughly $6.89 million it raised through August), reported spending $1 million opposing Trump-endorsed Anthony Constantino in New York's 21st District, per an FEC filing received Oct. 17. After Constantino's lawyers threatened a defamation lawsuit over a false 'Kill the Police' claim in the ad, the PAC suspended the TV buy and pulled the ad from the internet on Oct. 17 — then on Oct. 20 put $250,000 more behind a rewritten version with the claim removed.
Source: Daily Caller News Foundation →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
Think Big puts another $147K into NY-25 for Morelle as its AI-network backers wobble
Think Big, the Democratic-facing arm of the Leading the Future / American Mission AI super-PAC network (treasurer: ex-Schumer aide Josh Vlasto), filed a 24-hour report on Oct 19 for $146,828 in mail and TV supporting Rep. Joseph Morelle in NY-25 via vendor Lantern Production Consultants. The network tie hardened this week: an Oct 19 read of the filings shows Leading the Future sent $22.5M each to Think Big and American Mission, while venture capitalist Ronald Conway now regrets his funding, Meta pulled back $25M of a pledged $65M, and Greg Brockman reportedly canceled a planned $25M donation. Think Big's October Monthly donor report, due tonight, had not been filed as of this evening.
Source: FEC 24-hour IE report (filed 10/19/2026); FourWeekMBA →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
Lummis-linked crypto super PAC spent $810K backing Mike Rogers in the Michigan Senate primary
First Principles Digital, a Republican pro-crypto super PAC launched in 2025 by ex-NRSC chief Jason Thielman with Sen. Cynthia Lummis's former chief of staff Kristin Walker involved, reported an $810,700 media buy supporting Mike Rogers (disseminated July 27, reported July 29) — its largest spend ever and its first big Michigan Senate play. Its disclosed donors include Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss (~$987,000 combined), MoonPay ($100,000), and $600,000 from the affiliated dark-money 501(c)(4) America First Digital, whose own donors are undisclosed. The PAC still held about $493,000 in cash at the end of August, so more MI-Sen activity is possible before Nov 3.
Source: FEC filings; Crypto Influence Watch →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
$658,930 more pro-Hinson outside money hits Iowa Senate: dark-money-funded PAC's true outlay tops $6.6M
Fight on Iowa, a hybrid PAC in a joint fundraising arrangement with Ashley Hinson's campaign, placed two new buys since Oct 19: a $630,180 TV/media placement opposing Josh Turek and a $28,750 dual-purpose mailer attacking Turek and boosting Hinson. Its cycle total is $6,605,678 in true outlay after collapsing dual-purpose ad pairs — and $4 million of its funding traces to the dark-money nonprofit American Advancement Inc., which does not disclose its donors. The roughly $1 million it raised in September stays hidden until its October Monthly donor report, due tonight.
Source: Des Moines Register →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
New $300,000 pro-Collins text-message buy lands in Georgia Senate from a previously dormant super PAC
Delivering for America PAC, an Athens, Georgia super PAC that registered in July 2025 but had never made an independent expenditure, reported a $300,000 text-message buy supporting Mike Collins (R), disseminated Oct 18. Its disclosed backers include Trump megadonor Ronald Cameron ($100,000), Collins's own campaign finance chair Ben Tarbutton ($50,000), and the dark-money nonprofit A Public Voice, Inc. ($80,000). The buy landed as Senate Majority PAC pulled its Georgia ads and polling showed Collins trailing Jon Ossoff.
Source: FEC committee record (filings) →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
Defense-tech money floods rare Republican-vs-Republican House race: $6.3M super PAC hits Young Kim, backs Ken Calvert in CA-40
Americans 4 Security PAC, a Wisconsin super PAC whose biggest disclosed funders include Palantir's CEO Alex Karp ($525,000) and CTO Shyam Sankar ($250,000) plus $2.1 million from its own dark-money 501(c)(4), has now spent $6.3 million this cycle — $5.6 million opposing Rep. Young Kim and $252,000 supporting Rep. Ken Calvert in California's 40th, where redistricting threw the two Republican incumbents into the same district. The PAC added another $300,000 in anti-Kim media on Oct 20. It is under a CREW FEC/IRS complaint alleging its nonprofit arm hides its donors; see the full picture in the spoiler playbook.
Source: FEC filings; CREW →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
Black Voters Matter Action PAC puts $300K into Florida's Senate race in final two weeks
The Atlanta-based super PAC reported $150,000 opposing Republican Sen. Ashley Moody and $150,000 supporting Democratic nominee Angie Nixon — both for ad placement by Technicolor Political, with the ads disseminated Oct 20. The PAC is the federal arm of the Black Voters Matter network founded by LaTosha Brown and Cliff Albright; its treasurer is Atlanta organizer Kamau Franklin. Its largest funder this cycle is its own 501(c)(4), Black Voters Matter Fund, which gave $280,000; its latest donor report (October Quarterly, amended) was filed Oct 19, with the pre-general report due Oct 22.
Source: FEC →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
Brand-new dark 527 drops $150K in digital ads against Nadia Milleron in MA-1
Forward United, a 527 organization that filed its first and only FEC report on Oct 19, reported $150,000 in digital advertising opposing Nadia Milleron (D) in Massachusetts's 1st District, placed Oct 18 via the vendor Powers Interactive. The only named human on record is treasurer Chris Keohan, a Massachusetts Democratic operative (CK Strategies / Shawmut Strategies Group). As a 527 with no FEC committee registration, it discloses spending but has no scheduled donor report — its funders may never be FEC-disclosed.
Source: FEC 24-hour IE report (filed 10/19/2026) →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
Retire Career Politicians drops another $174K against Rounds in SD-Sen — cycle spending now $1.57M
The Democratic-aligned hybrid PAC filed a new 24-hour report on Oct 18 for $173,991 in TV and digital ads opposing Sen. Mike Rounds — its second identical anti-Rounds buy this month, pushing cycle independent expenditures to about $1.57 million. The roughly $1 million behind its September ad blitz is still undisclosed: the October Monthly donor report, due tonight, had not been filed as of this evening. Separately, the FEC flagged the committee's $200,000 and $60,500 August donations on Oct 14 as apparently exceeding contribution limits and asked it to move them to its non-contribution account.
Source: FEC Form 24/48 (filed 10/18/2026) →Tuesday, October 20, 2026Outside spending
In NY-3, a MAGA Inc.-funded PAC is spending millions against an AIPAC-backed Democratic incumbent — and a dark-money group shadows his side
PoliVion’s NY-3 story (polivion.com/ny-3/): No Going Back PAC — registered Sept 1 and reported by Reuters as fully funded by MAGA Inc. — has filed about $6.6M in independent expenditures in this race (about $4.9M against Rep. Tom Suozzi, $1.7M for Mike LiPetri), part of a reported ~$8M effort, while disclosing no donors at all. Suozzi, who carries $498,824 in AIPAC-linked support, got help from the Center for Democratic Priorities, a dark-money 527 whose donors may never be public: $110,310 in mail — from the same group that put about $5.7M behind another AIPAC-aligned Democrat in Michigan through UDP’s own media buyer. Meanwhile the Democrats’ House Majority PAC, which spent $5.9M for Suozzi in 2024, has spent nothing in NY-3 this cycle. Cook rates the race Likely D.
Source: PoliVion (FEC data) →Monday, October 19, 2026Election news
GOP ad blitz is a Senate-only game: $947M vs $625M in Senate toss-ups, only a $14M edge in House toss-ups
AdImpact data tallied by the New York Times shows Republicans outspending Democrats $947 million to $625 million on advertising (aired plus future reservations) across the seven Senate races Cook rates toss-ups — a $320M+ GOP advantage — while the House gap is just $14M across the 21 House toss-ups. Elon Musk's nearly $170M to super PACs backing Ken Paxton in Texas is a major driver. Democratic candidates are outraising GOP opponents in many battlegrounds, but the Republican edge is built on outside super PAC cash.
Source: Political Wire (reporting the New York Times) →Monday, October 19, 2026Outside spending
Brand-new super PAC spends $600K in Ohio's Senate race attacking Husted, boosting Libertarian Redpath
A Wisconsin-based super PAC that registered this month, Buckeye Freedom PAC, placed a $600,000 dual-purpose ad buy in Ohio's tied Senate race — the ads attack Republican Jon Husted as a "RINO" while urging votes for Libertarian William Redpath, disseminated Oct 17. The buy was reported to the FEC as two $600K lines (oppose Husted / support Redpath); it is a single ad with a $600K true outlay. The PAC has filed no donor report; its only named principal is compliance treasurer Thomas Datwyler.
Source: Semblen ad tracker →Monday, October 19, 2026Outside spending
Corporate-lobbyist super PAC adds ~$2M for centrist Democrats across six races
Center Forward Committee, the Democratic arm of the Center Forward dark-money network run by corporate lobbyists (funded by Chevron, PhRMA, PG&E, BIO, and the Business Roundtable, per OpenSecrets and Sludge reporting), added roughly $2.09M in new independent expenditures: backing Don Davis (NC-1), Mike Thompson (CA-4), Angie Craig (MN-2), Haley Stevens (MI-Sen), Susie Lee (NV-3), and Vicente Gonzalez (TX-34), and opposing Mike Bouchard (MI-10). Donors are disclosed through Aug 31; September receipts — the money behind this burst — are due in the October Monthly report on Oct 20.
Source: FEC (network reporting: OpenSecrets) →Monday, October 19, 2026Outside spending
Center Forward's GOP arm adds $445K for moderate Republicans in six House races
Center Forward Initiative, the Republican-leaning twin of the Center Forward Committee (same McLean VA address, same dark-money nonprofit funder), added $445,356 in independent expenditures supporting moderate Republicans Mike Lawler (NY-17), Bryan Steil (WI-1), Mariannette Miller-Meeks (IA-1), Greg Murphy (NC-3), David Valadao (CA-22), and Blake Moore (UT-2) via direct mail and digital ads. Its donors are disclosed through Aug 31 — including $675K from the Center Forward nonprofit and $225K from the American Society of Anesthesiologists PAC — with September receipts due Oct 20.
Source: FEC →Monday, October 19, 2026Outside spending
Anti-incumbent PAC adds $174K attacking Flood, Ricketts, Rounds; ~$1M of its September money still hidden
Retire Career Politicians, a Democratic-aligned hybrid PAC run by compliance pro Christopher Koob (MBA Consulting Group; ex-DSCC/DNC), added $173,991 in new independent expenditures opposing Mike Flood (NE-1), Pete Ricketts (NE-Sen), and Mike Rounds (SD-Sen), while backing Democrat Chris Backemeyer (NE-1). Its disclosed funding runs through other PACs — mainly $200K from Way Back PAC — but roughly $1M behind the current ad blitz is undisclosed until the October Monthly report due Oct 20; the PAC's September report also drew an FEC information request on Oct 14.
Source: FEC →Monday, October 19, 2026Outside spending
New Democratic super PAC runs $382.5K of dual-purpose ads across IA, OH, GA Senate races
Project Bullhorn PAC, a San Francisco-based Democratic super PAC registered in April 2026 ($1.5M raised; treasurer Laurie Van Hall of Bee Compliance, ex-Buttigieg 2020 finance operations), ran $382,500 in true-outlay comparative ads — reported as three dual-purpose pairs totaling $765K — for Josh Turek (IA-Sen), Sherrod Brown (OH-Sen), and Jon Ossoff (GA-Sen), against Ashley Hinson, Jon Husted, and Mike Collins. Its donors are disclosed in its Q3 FEC report.
Source: FEC →Monday, October 19, 2026Outside spending
Democratic super PAC adds $192K in House-race ads across FL, AZ, NY; donors disclosed
American Democracy Project, a DC-based Democratic super PAC run by veteran compliance operator Victoria Perrone (treasurer for Fetterman 2022 and Mamdani 2025), added $191,812 in new independent expenditures: opposing Republicans Sydney Gruters (FL-16), Thomas Feely (AZ-1), Mike Lawler (NY-17), and Anthony Constantino (NY-21), and supporting Democrats Tom Suozzi (NY-3) and Blake Gendebien (NY-21). Its Q3 FEC report disclosed $638.5K raised ($338.5K from individuals, $300K from another committee).
Source: FEC →Monday, October 19, 2026Outside spending
Dark-money 527 behind ~$5.5M of pro-Stevens ads resurfaces with $110K mail for Suozzi in NY-3
The Center for Democratic Priorities, a secretive 527 that spent an estimated $5.7M on TV ads boosting Haley Stevens in Michigan's Democratic Senate primary without ever disclosing a donor or registering with the FEC or IRS, has resurfaced in the general election: its first-ever FEC filing reports $110,310 in direct mail supporting Tom Suozzi (NY-3). Abdul El-Sayed publicly alleged the group was funded by AIPAC; AIPAC denied it, and no outlet has documented who funds the group.
Source: InfluenceWatch →Monday, October 19, 2026Outside spending
Texas GOP super PAC's first buy: $100K against Wellman in MO-2, funded by undisclosed October money
Protect Our Family Values Action, a Republican super PAC registered in December 2025 and run by GOP operative Les Williamson (Strategic Victory Solutions; ex-NRSC/McConnell circles) out of a Houston mailbox address, sat nearly dormant until Oct 17, when it spent $100,035 on media attacking Democrat Fred Wellman in Missouri's competitive 2nd District via Del Cielo Media. It had only $23,905 cash on hand at Sep 30, so the October money behind the buy is undisclosed until the Post-General report due Dec 3.
Source: FEC →Monday, October 19, 2026Outside spending
Valor Project's donors disclosed: Perlmutter $100K and Trulieve $25K funded pro-Mast ads in FL-21
Valor Project, the super PAC behind $191,920 in October media buys supporting Brian Mast (R) in FL-21, has its 2026 donors fully disclosed in filed monthly FEC reports: Isaac Perlmutter, the Israeli-American billionaire and former Marvel chairman, gave $100,000 in April; Florida cannabis company Trulieve Holdings gave $25,000 in August; SG Manager LLC (attributed to partner Michael Swerdlow) gave $10,000 in June. No pro-Israel network link to the committee's activity is documented.
Source: FEC →Monday, October 19, 2026Outside spending
Pro-Graham super PAC triples spending to $1.3M in SC-Sen — donors still hidden
Building the Future, the GOP super PAC backing appointed Sen. Darline Graham in South Carolina, added an $888,914 media buy on Oct 17, bringing its cycle independent expenditures to about $1,296,414 — triple the $407,500 previously recorded. Its quarterly FEC report covering August–September listed zero receipts and zero disbursements, so no donor has been disclosed. Its first real donor report, the Pre-General, is due Oct 22.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
New super PAC 'Valor Project' spends $192K backing Brian Mast in FL-21
Valor Project (C00735894), an Athens, Georgia-based super PAC with treasurer Paul Kilgore, reported $191,920 in media buys supporting Rep. Brian Mast (R) in Florida's 21st District, disseminated Oct 16 through vendor Arena LLC — its first independent expenditures in the 2026 cycle. It files monthly, so its donors will not be disclosed until the October Monthly report due around Nov 20. Its FEC committee record lists no connected organization.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
American Medical Association PAC spends $300K backing Ralph Alvarado in KY-6
The American Medical Association's connected PAC (C00000422) reported a $300,000 media buy supporting Republican Ralph Alvarado in Kentucky's 6th District, disseminated Oct 16 — its largest 2026 independent expenditure to date. Earlier this cycle it spent $150,139 backing Richard Pan in CA-6 and $150,024 backing Tina Shah in NJ-7 during the primaries. The PAC discloses its donors through regular FEC filings and has historically split its independent spending between the parties.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
Labor group Working America pours $1.7M into Senate races in final weeks
Working America (C90011156), the AFL-CIO's community affiliate, reported about $1.66 million in new independent expenditures Oct 15–17: $500,250 supporting Sherrod Brown and $450,750 opposing Jon Husted in Ohio's Senate race; $307,206 opposing Mike Rogers and $182,206 supporting Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan; $125,250 opposing Ashley Hinson and $120,500 supporting Josh Turek in Iowa — plus smaller buys in Georgia and Minnesota. Its 2026 cycle total is about $2.2 million.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
SEIU-backed 'Health Care Saves Lives' hits $3.3M targeting California House Republicans
The Sacramento-based super PAC Health Care Saves Lives (C00888081) has reported $3.26 million in 2026 independent expenditures, including October buys opposing Reps. David Valadao (CA-22, $628,060), Kevin Kiley (CA-6, $447,119) and Jim Desmond (CA-48, $426,678), while backing Democrats Aisha Wahab, Marni von Wilpert, Richard Pan and Randy Villegas. Its October Quarterly, filed Oct 15, shows the operation is SEIU-backed: $223,931 in in-kind phone banking and staff time from SEIU Local 2015 plus staff-time support from the SEIU California State Council.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
Cassidy-linked super PAC's $658K against Letlow documented in FEC filings
FEC bulk data documents $658,153 in independent expenditures by the Louisiana Freedom Fund (C00906263) opposing Julia Letlow in Louisiana's Senate race — spending disseminated in April and May during the GOP primary, when the super PAC was backing then-Sen. Bill Cassidy. The committee's FEC record lists the Cassidy Leadership Fund as its connected organization. It filed a termination report on Oct 15, after the Trump-backed Letlow defeated Cassidy for the nomination.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
Single-donor super PAC 'Panhandle Patriots' spends $1M backing Austin Rogers in FL-2
Panhandle Patriots PAC (C00939124), a Mountain Brook, Alabama-based super PAC, has reported $1,016,210 in 2026 independent expenditures: $820,210 supporting Republican Austin Rogers in Florida's open 2nd District, plus $196,000 opposing his primary rival Keith Gross in July. Its October Quarterly, filed Oct 15, shows a single funder: Joseph Daou of Clearwater, Florida (Savis Inc.), who has given $1,612,500 this cycle.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
SEIU's PAC spreads nearly $2M across House and Senate battlegrounds
SEIU COPE (C00004036), the Service Employees International Union's political action committee, has reported $1.97 million in 2026 independent expenditures, with October buys including $305,125 opposing Nick Begich in Alaska's at-large race, $235,000 backing Joanna Mendoza in AZ-6, $216,384 backing Bob Brooks in PA-7, $161,375 opposing Rob Bresnahan and $88,750 backing Paige Cognetti in PA-8, $81,484 backing Rebecca Cooke in WI-3, and $80,125 opposing Juan Ciscomani in AZ-6.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
'Mainstream Colorado Fund' tops $1.1M in CO-8 battle
The Mainstream Colorado Fund (C00885707) has reported $1,178,043 in 2026 independent expenditures in Colorado's 8th District: $797,146 opposing Republican Gabe Evans and $380,896 supporting Democrat Manny Rutinel, including $144,750 disseminated Oct 9. Its October Quarterly was filed Oct 15.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
'Building the Future' super PAC spending for Darline Graham triples to $1.3M
The GOP super PAC Building the Future (C00960328) reported another $888,914 in independent expenditures supporting Sen. Darline Graham (R) in South Carolina's Senate race Oct 16–17, bringing its 2026 cycle total to $1,296,414. Its donors remain undisclosed; its pre-election report is due Oct 22.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
'Enough Promises Ohio' adds $484K more boosting socialist spoiler in OH-Sen
Enough Promises Ohio (C00962563) reported two more dual-purpose ad buys in Ohio's Senate race Oct 15–16 — each filed as paired lines supporting socialist Gregory Levy and opposing Sherrod Brown ($376,500 on Oct 16 via Outbound Messaging LLC; $107,830 on Oct 15 via Seven Farms), a true combined outlay of about $484,330. Its cycle true-outlay total is about $1.1 million. The PAC is the subject of PoliVion's spoiler-playbook Case 1.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
Commonwealth Action PAC names one Q3 donor; its October ad buy's funding still undisclosed
Commonwealth Action PAC's October Quarterly, filed Oct 14, discloses one third-quarter donor: DLA Piper partner Thomas E. Gaynor of McLean, VA, who gave $25,000 on Sep 9. The filing shows $90,886 cash on hand at Sep 30 — but the PAC's Oct 12 ad buy in VA-01, a dual-purpose ad supporting Rob Wittman and opposing Shannon Taylor reported as two $215,385 lines ($215,385 true outlay), cost more than that cash position, so additional October contributions funded the rest. Those donors won't be disclosed until the PAC's pre-election report, due Oct 22.
Source: FEC →Sunday, October 18, 2026Outside spending
Crypto PACs escalate in Ohio: Fairshake affiliate spending hits $46.6M against Brown as Ohio Senate becomes costliest race
Per FEC filings released Oct 15, the Fairshake affiliate Defend American Jobs has spent $46.6 million on media opposing Sherrod Brown and supporting Jon Husted in the Ohio Senate race — more than 50% above the $30 million Fairshake announced in September it planned to spend against Brown. The Winklevoss twins' Digital Freedom Fund added about $3 million in ad spending this week, bringing its Ohio total above $5.9 million. The Ohio Senate race now carries $422.6 million in past and future ad reservations, making it the most expensive Senate contest of the cycle.
Source: Cointelegraph →Sunday, October 18, 2026Party committees
DCCC launches bilingual six-figure ad blitz in FL-22 targeting Hispanic voters
The DCCC launched bilingual ads in Florida's 22nd District backing Democrat Pia Dandiya and attacking Republican Casey Askar's business record — a deliberate push to win back Hispanic voters, who make up nearly a third of the district's voting-age population. The 30-second spots, titled 'Chances,' run in English and Spanish on YouTube and streaming platforms.
Source: TC Sentinel (via Florida Politics) →Saturday, October 17, 2026Outside spending
New GOP super PAC 'Building the Future' spends $407,500 backing Darline Graham in SC Senate
The super PAC (registered Aug 30) filed a $407,500 general-election independent expenditure supporting appointed Sen. Darline Graham (R), disseminated Oct 15, for text messaging and media via Prusik Partners LLC. Its compliance email is the GOP firm Crosby Ottenhoff, and Prusik is one of the obscure Nevada LLCs tied by reporting to the a16z/OpenAI-backed Leading the Future AI network; shared vendor does not mean shared funder. Donors are undisclosed — the first donor report is due in the pre-general filing around Oct 22.
Source: FEC filing (F24) →Saturday, October 17, 2026Outside spending
New Maine super PAC 'Honest Choice Maine' spends $232K in the Senate race: $195K against Troy Jackson
The super PAC (registered Sep 28) spent $194,582 opposing Troy Jackson (D) and $37,511 supporting Susan Collins (R) in Maine's Senate race, both disseminated Oct 14, via Relay Media Group. It uses the same GOP compliance shop (Crosby Ottenhoff) and Bryant Bank account infrastructure that investigators tied to a documented sham-PAC network; no principal or funder is identified yet. Donors are undisclosed until the pre-general filing around Oct 22. UPDATE Oct 28: its Pre-General report's Schedule A (filed Oct 22) itemizes the money — the committee's only receipt was a single $500,000 contribution on Oct 5 from Conservative Americans PAC (C00855924), a Republican super PAC funded almost entirely by the dark-money 501(c)(4) American Prosperity Alliance. Honest Choice Maine is cleared from PoliVion's donor watch; the chain now dead-ends at APA's undisclosed donors.
Source: FEC filing (F1) →Saturday, October 17, 2026Outside spending
Environmental super PAC 'Wilderness Action' drops $123K in TV ads against Stauber (MN-8) over Boundary Waters mining fight
The new super PAC (registered Sep 8) filed $122,802 in general-election independent expenditures opposing Rep. Pete Stauber (R), disseminated Oct 15 — TV ads plus mobile billboards attacking his record on the Boundary Waters mining fight. It sits in The Wilderness Society's orbit (in-kind website support). Its first donor disclosure is not due until Nov 20, after Election Day.
Source: FEC filing (F1) / wildernessactionusa.org →Saturday, October 17, 2026Outside spending
Labor super PAC 'One PAC' spends $206K in TV attacking independent Nadia Milleron (MA-1)
One PAC filed $206,000 in general-election independent expenditures opposing Nadia Milleron, the independent challenging in MA-1 (TV and production via Targeted Platform Media, disseminated Oct 12 and Oct 17); it had earlier spent $77,931 supporting Rep. Stephen Lynch (D) in the MA-8 primary. Its October Quarterly discloses $135,000 in union and union-affiliated donors.
Source: FEC filing (October Quarterly) →Saturday, October 17, 2026Outside spending
Youth group super PAC 'Alliance for Youth Power' spends $211K backing El-Sayed (MI-Sen)
The electoral arm of Alliance for Youth Action filed $210,500 supporting Abdul El-Sayed (D) in Michigan's Senate race plus $7,500 supporting Rebecca Cooke (D) in WI-3, both disseminated Oct 16 (digital advertising via AfG Partners). Donors are disclosed: its October Quarterly shows $450,000 from the Children's Equity Fund (the Bainum Family Foundation's 501(c)(4)) plus $150,000 from SEIU and NEA affiliates.
Source: FEC filing (October Quarterly) →Saturday, October 17, 2026Outside spending
Crypto PACs pour $52M into Ohio Senate race against Sherrod Brown
FEC filings Thursday show the Fairshake affiliate Defend American Jobs spent $46.6 million opposing former Sen. Sherrod Brown and backing Sen. Jon Husted in OH-Sen — a sharp jump from the $30M Fairshake said it planned to spend in September. Separately, the Winklevoss twins' new Digital Freedom Fund reported about $3M in ad spending this week opposing Brown and supporting Husted, bringing its total above $5.9M. (Sourcing: single-outlet Cointelegraph report on the filings; figures not independently pulled.)
Source: Cointelegraph →Saturday, October 17, 2026Outside spending
DraftKings- and FanDuel-backed super PACs resume midterm ad spending
Super PACs bankrolled by DraftKings, FanDuel, Fanatics and Bet365 (about $100M from the betting companies over the past year) resumed political advertising ahead of Nov 3, per a Sportico report. American Future PAC began buying digital ads on Meta and Google on Oct 6 (at least $30K across 10 ads targeting state races in AL, IL, GA and MD); operators gave $40M+ to Win for America, a PAC passing money to affiliated super PACs in state races.
Source: rg.org (summarizing Sportico) →Friday, October 16, 2026Outside spending
New super PAC spends $209K backing Shannon Taylor in Virginia's 1st
The Public Trust PAC (C00960021), a super PAC registered in August 2026, reported $208,888 in independent expenditures supporting Democrat Shannon Taylor in VA-1 (disseminated Oct 13, via Democratic digital vendor Technicolor Political), per FEC filings. Its October Quarterly discloses a single $300,000 donor: Civitech PBC of Austin, Texas, a progressive voter-data firm whose CEO Jeremy Smith raised $10M+ led by Higher Ground Labs (the Obama-veterans progressive tech fund). Treasurer Brannon Jordan Lazo (Premier Compliance).
Source: FEC →Friday, October 16, 2026Outside spending
New hybrid PAC spends $182K supporting El-Sayed in Michigan Senate race; funders hidden
Serious About Safety PAC (C00960500), a hybrid PAC registered September 2026, reported $181,500 in independent expenditures supporting Democrat Abdul El-Sayed in MI-Sen (disseminated Oct 13, via Democratic media firm Conexion Political), per FEC filings — pro-El-Sayed spending in the race where AIPAC's UDP spent $20.3M opposing him. Its October Monthly lists zero itemized receipts, so the funders are undisclosed until the November Monthly (due ~Nov 20). Treasurer John Roberson (Acuity Politics compliance). Added to PoliVion's donor watchlist.
Source: FEC →Friday, October 16, 2026Party committees
GOP triage: CLF pulls $3M from Cuellar race, shifts to TX-15 and TX-34
The Congressional Leadership Fund is giving up $3 million in ad time it had reserved in TX-28 (Henry Cuellar vs Tano Tijerina) and shifting it to defend Monica De La Cruz (TX-15) and challenge Vicente Gonzalez (TX-34), per the Daily Letter (Oct 16). A significant late allocation shift in South Texas.
Source: The Daily Letter →Friday, October 16, 2026Party committees
Elon Musk gave $158M to groups supporting Paxton in close TX Senate race
FEC filings show Elon Musk gave the Senate Leadership Fund $75M on Sept. 9 and $83M on Sept. 23 ($158M total); SLF transferred identical amounts to Texas PAC, the pro-Paxton super PAC, the day after each gift. Musk also gave $10M to Lone Star Liberty PAC for Paxton after an SLF request, per USA Today.
Source: USA Today →Friday, October 16, 2026Election news
Talarico raises record $64M in Texas Senate race against Paxton
Democrat James Talarico raised $64 million in Q3 2026, the largest single-quarter haul by any Senate candidate in history, vs. $18M for Republican Ken Paxton. His campaign says 97% of donations were $100 or less, with 1.3M+ individual donors; total TX-Sen spending is now near $500M, per the El Paso Times.
Source: El Paso Times →Friday, October 16, 2026Party committees
Musk powers Republican PACs to $367M fundraising haul
The Senate Leadership Fund reported $273M raised in Q3 (including Musk's $158M plus seven-figure gifts from Schwarzman, Ricketts, and Wynn); its House counterpart, the Congressional Leadership Fund, raised a record $94.4M, with CLF and sister group American Action Network at $370M for the cycle — vastly outpacing Democratic counterparts, per Bloomberg Government.
Source: Bloomberg Government →Friday, October 16, 2026Election news
Midterm ad spending climbed over $10 billion this week
Total midterm ad spending passed $10 billion this week as outside groups flood competitive races with cash, per NPR's Domenico Montanaro. The piece examines whether the unprecedented spending levels can actually sway outcomes with 18 days to go.
Source: NPR →Friday, October 16, 2026Election news
Turek raises 4X more than Hinson; Iowa Senate race spending to top $150M
Democrat Josh Turek raised $13.9M in Q3 vs. $3.3M for GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson, bringing his cycle total to $20.2M vs. her $13.5M. AdImpact projects total spending in the Iowa Senate race will exceed $150M by Election Day, with the Senate Leadership Fund adding $20M to its Iowa buys, per the Des Moines Register.
Source: Des Moines Register →Friday, October 16, 2026AIPAC / UDP
Israel, via Parscale's Clock Tower X, reserves $32K in Des Moines broadcast airtime ahead of Election Day
AdImpact Politics reports the State of Israel, through Brad Parscale's Clock Tower X LLC, is reserving broadcast airtime in the Des Moines market — $32,000 placed so far, with spots set to run in the days before the November 3 election. It escalates the same operation's Iowa push from mailers (Des Moines Register, Oct 14) to broadcast. Clock Tower X registered as a foreign agent (FARA #7649) in September 2025; filings put its Israel contract at $4.5M/month from April through October 2026. Iowa law bars foreign nationals from spending that advocates for or against candidates; the mailers named no candidates, and no ad content for the broadcast buy has been reported. The Register names IA-Sen (Hinson vs Turek) and IA-3 (Nunn vs Trone Garriott) as the watched races in range of the market. Separately — a different operation, not linked to Clock Tower X in any reporting — Citizen Lab reported Oct 15 that Israeli ad-tech firm Discover-Tech sold programmatic ads that delivered zero-click spyware (technique dubbed 'AdFection') through its 'Controlium' platform: merely rendering the ad could infect the device, no click needed. At least 45 Al Jazeera devices were infected in 2024–25 with Candiru spyware via these ads; Google and Comcast's Beeswax have since removed Discover-Tech from their platforms.
Source: AdImpact Politics via @TrackAIPAC; Des Moines Register; Citizen Lab →Friday, October 16, 2026Outside spending
TFM's seed money was Republican: Great Lakes Conservatives Fund gave $50K to the $4.38M anti-El-Sayed super PAC
TFM — Together for Michigan (FEC #C00960138), the super PAC behind $4.38M in Michigan Senate independent expenditures ($3.26M opposing Abdul El-Sayed, $1.12M backing Mike Rogers) — filed its first donor report Oct 15: $84,065 raised through Sept 30. The seed money is Republican: $50,000 from GLCF, Inc., the Great Lakes Conservatives Fund (a GOP super PAC that raised $22.6M in 2024 and spent $10.7M backing Rogers), plus $25,000 from American Unity PAC of Virginia, with the rest from individual donors in Memphis and Michigan. The PAC's treasurer is Democratic state representative Karen Whitsett. Note: the $84K is seed money only — funding for the October $4.38M blitz lands in the pre-general report due Oct 22.
Source: FEC filings →Friday, October 16, 2026Outside spending
One man bankrolled the anti-Johnson super PAC: founder John Ratcliff gave all $577K to A Real Bottom Line
A Real Bottom Line (FEC #C00958124), the super PAC behind ~$288,000 in independent expenditures opposing House Speaker Mike Johnson in LA-4, filed its first donor report Oct 15: $577,000 in total receipts — every dollar from a single donor, founder John Ratcliff of Shreveport, Louisiana (retired), across ten contributions from August 3 to September 9. A one-man operation.
Source: FEC filings →Thursday, October 15, 2026Outside spending
New Democratic-aligned hybrid PAC drops $168K in Indiana's 5th: mail and digital against Spartz, for Ford
Hoosier State Values PAC (FEC #C00962779), registered October 1, 2026, disclosed $168,369 in independent expenditures in IN-5: $139,184 in digital ads opposing Republican Victoria Spartz and $29,184 in direct mail supporting Democrat J.D. Ford, all through DC mail vendor Pinwheel Productions. Treasurer Andrew Madras is a Democratic compliance professional (Rising Blue Consulting; previously American Bridge 21st Century), and the committee appears in ActBlue's independent-expenditure directory. No donors have been disclosed yet; the first donor list is expected with the 12-day pre-general report due October 22.
Source: FEC filings →Thursday, October 15, 2026Outside spending
New Shreveport super PAC spends ~$288K against Speaker Mike Johnson in Louisiana's jungle primary
A Real Bottom Line PAC (FEC #C00958124), registered in August 2026, disclosed about $288,000 in independent expenditures opposing House Speaker Mike Johnson in LA-4: $150,000 in connected-TV/digital ads (Powers Interactive), plus billboards, phone banking and texts. Founder John Ratcliff of Shreveport told commentator Robert Mann the faith-based effort aims to hold Johnson under 50% in Louisiana's November 3 jungle primary to force a runoff. No donors have been disclosed yet; the October Quarterly report was due October 15 and had not been filed as of this evening.
Source: FEC filings; Robert Mann →Thursday, October 15, 2026Outside spending
SpaceX's corporate PAC gave $75K to the super PAC behind a $215K pro-Wittman media buy in VA-1
Commonwealth Action PAC (FEC #C00928150), the super PAC behind a $215,385 media buy supporting Rep. Rob Wittman and opposing Shannon Taylor in VA-1 (Ascent Media, disseminated Oct 12), disclosed its donors: SpaceX's corporate PAC gave $75,000 in March, and DLA Piper partner Thomas Gaynor gave $25,000 in September. Correction: an earlier $430,770 figure double-counted a dual-purpose ad reported on two Schedule E lines; the true outlay is $215,385. The committee's treasurer is Republican compliance professional Frank Burford (Crosby Ottenhoff Group). Who funded the October buy should appear on the 12-day pre-general report due October 22.
Source: FEC filings →Wednesday, October 14, 2026AIPAC / UDP
Pro-Israel mailers from Parscale-linked Clock Tower X land in Iowa ahead of hot Senate and House races
Des Moines Register staff received printed mailers from Clock Tower X LLC — the DOJ-registered foreign-agent firm of former Trump campaign manager Brad Parscale — touting U.S.-Israel ties and Israeli trade benefits for Iowa. The mailers name no candidates, but the Register notes their distribution lines up with the hotly contested Iowa Senate race (Hinson vs. Turek) and IA-03 (Nunn vs. Trone Garriott). Filings show Clock Tower X has run $31.5 million in digital ads for Israel from April through October.
Source: Des Moines Register →Wednesday, October 14, 2026Party committees
Congressional Leadership Fund pulls $3 million from TX-28, ceding Cuellar–Tijerina race
The Congressional Leadership Fund pulled $3 million in ad reservations from Texas's 28th District this week, pulling back its effort to unseat 11-term Rep. Henry Cuellar even though the seat was redrawn to favor Republicans, per AdImpact. CLF had already spent over $4.5 million in the race; the money shifts to defending Rep. Monica De La Cruz in TX-15 and boosting Eric Flores against Vicente Gonzalez in TX-34. The withdrawal marks a new write-off of a seat Republicans had touted as a top pickup.
Source: Washington Examiner →Wednesday, October 14, 2026Outside spending
New pop-up super PAC drops $348K backing Ager in NC-11 and James in IA-2; donors now disclosed
Fight for Working People (FEC #C00960245), registered as a super PAC on August 28, 2026, reported $348,238 in independent expenditures: $280,000 supporting Democrat Jamie Ager in NC-11 and $68,238 supporting Democrat Lindsay James in IA-2, all disclosed via 48-hour FEC reports from Sept 18 to Oct 13. Treasurer is Oregon Democratic compliance professional Jef Green (C&E Systems); the media vendors are Progressive Lens Media and The New Media Firm. No donor report has been filed yet — as a quarterly filer, its first donor list is due October 15. UPDATE Oct 15: its October Quarterly filing (received Oct 14) discloses $350,000 in itemized donations: Bigger Tent Initiative $100,000; BDA PAC $100,000; WelcomePAC $25,000; Kevin Litwack (Seattle) $50,000; Tom Miller (Seattle) $40,000; Grace Nordhoff (Seattle, retired) $25,000; Brian Jacobson (Seattle, Valve Corporation programmer) $10,000. The filing also shows a $50,000 contribution routed to Millions of Michiganians (Lansing, MI). Three of the seven donors are organizations, seeding most of the money.
Source: FEC filings →Wednesday, October 14, 2026Outside spending
GOP-network super PAC spends $290K in Maine's 2nd: $190K against Dunlap, $100K for LePage
Poverty to Prosperity (FEC #C00902577), registered as a super PAC in April 2025, spent $190,000 on media opposing Democrat Matthew Dunlap and $100,000 on live calls supporting Republican Paul LePage in Maine's 2nd District (amendment-deduped FEC figures, data through Oct 14). Treasurer Thomas Datwyler runs 9SevenFEC, a Republican campaign-compliance shop; vendors include Spotlight Media Group (founded by former NRCC communications director Michael McAdams) and Alamo Intelligence (a Senate Leadership Fund vendor). Donors disclosed in the October quarterly: Gary and Sandra Bahre (Oxford, ME), Joseph Doyle (Ponte Vedra, FL), and George Palermo (Blue Hill, ME) — no public political profiles found. See the full picture in the Spoiler Playbook.
Source: FEC filings →Wednesday, October 14, 2026Election news
Epstein-linked donors gave $50,000 to Ashley Moody's Senate campaign after her probe found no wrongdoing
As Florida attorney general, Ashley Moody investigated the work-release program that let Jeffrey Epstein leave jail up to 16 hours a day; after nearly two years, her office concluded no misconduct — despite abuse later substantiated by DOJ-released FBI interviews. Drop Site News reports five individuals with documented Epstein-file connections have since given about $50,000 to her Senate victory fund: ex-Clinton staffer Douglas Band ($14,000), Blackstone CEO Stephen Schwarzman ($12,000), John Catsimatidis ($10,000), Apollo CEO Marc Rowan ($7,000), and Ronald Lauder ($7,000). The 'links' range from post-jailing relationships to address-book appearances, and the article alleges no quid pro quo. Moody faces Democrat Angie Nixon in a race now polling within about 2 points.
Source: Drop Site News →Tuesday, October 13, 2026Party committees
Senate Leadership Fund adds another $8 million for Ricketts in Nebraska, bringing its total to $15 million
The Senate Leadership Fund plans to spend another $8 million through Election Day to help Sen. Pete Ricketts (R), who faces an unexpectedly strong challenge from independent Dan Osborn. That brings SLF's total planned spending in the race to $15 million — $7 million already spent through the previously undisclosed Cornhusker Majority PAC. The move signals how worried Republicans are about holding a once-safe seat with three weeks to go.
Source: Wall Street Journal →Tuesday, October 13, 2026Party committees
Congressional Leadership Fund pulls $10 million from four House races, cutting off Miller-Meeks and Kean
The Congressional Leadership Fund, the GOP's top House super PAC, confirmed Oct. 13 it is pulling about $10 million in ad reservations from four districts: it is ending advertising support for Reps. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (IA-1) and Tom Kean Jr. (NJ-7), and abandoning efforts to unseat Reps. Greg Landsman (OH-1) and Kristen McDonald Rivet (MI-8). A spokesperson said Iowa money will be reallocated to the more competitive IA-2 and IA-3. It is the first time a major national Republican group has abandoned a GOP incumbent this cycle; Trump-aligned super PACs are also diverting money from the Kean and Miller-Meeks races.
Source: Des Moines Register →Tuesday, October 13, 2026Outside spending
MAGA-linked PAC spends $397K on mailers promoting socialist spoiler Greg Levy over Sherrod Brown
AP reports that Enough Promises Ohio, a super PAC created Sept. 29 with ties to Trump's MAGA Inc. orbit, paid mail vendor Seven Farms more than $397,000 for mailers promoting independent socialist candidate Greg Levy over Democrat Sherrod Brown in the Ohio Senate race. Levy condemned the mailers as impersonation and is considering legal action. The case extends PoliVion's /spoiler-playbook/ Enough Promises Ohio entry.
Source: Associated Press (via Columbus Dispatch) →Tuesday, October 13, 2026Outside spending
New super PAC 'TFM' spends $4.38M in Michigan Senate race: $3.26M attacking El-Sayed, $1.12M backing Rogers
FEC filings show TFM — Together for Michigan (committee C00960138), registered as a super PAC on Aug. 27, 2026 — has reported $4,376,550 in independent expenditures: $3,255,020 opposing Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and $1,121,530 supporting Republican Mike Rogers, via 48-hour reports filed Oct. 10-11 (FEC bulk data, Oct. 13). The treasurer is Karen Whitsett, the Democratic Michigan state representative from Detroit who stopped attending House Democratic caucus meetings in Jan. 2025. TFM's FEC compliance email is @demsforrogers.com, tying it to the 'Democrats for Mike Rogers' crossover operation (and its @DemsForMike account) that Whitsett publicly fronts. Donors are not yet disclosed; the committee's first quarterly donor report is due Oct. 15. Flagged by Track AIPAC. Added as Case 4 in PoliVion's /spoiler-playbook/.
Source: FEC filings (independent-expenditure bulk data, Oct. 13, 2026); Track AIPAC →Tuesday, October 13, 2026Outside spending
Trump-aligned PAC pulls $954,000 in Las Vegas ads for O'Donnell in NV-03
The Trump-aligned Safety and Affordability PAC cancelled $953,995 in TV ads for Republican Marty O'Donnell set to run October 14–20 in the Las Vegas market, cutting its scheduled spending for that week to zero, per an ad-tracking alert. The group had reserved $3.2 million for October and November last month; whether the remaining ads still run is unknown. The pull follows Cook Political Report's October 9 move of the race to Likely Democrat for Rep. Susie Lee.
Source: Nevada News and Views →Tuesday, October 13, 2026Party committees
GOP triage: Congressional Leadership Fund abandons four House races, redirects into 16 others
The Congressional Leadership Fund, the leading House Republican super PAC, canceled ad spending in four races (Iowa's 1st, New Jersey's 7th, Ohio's 1st and Michigan's 8th) and increased investment in 16 other races from Texas to Pennsylvania. The money being pulled, $13.3 million per the AP's tally, was redirected to defend incumbents including Brian Fitzpatrick, Monica De La Cruz, Rob Wittman and Bill Huizenga, and from Iowa's 1st into the 2nd and 3rd districts. It is the first time this cycle a major national GOP group has abandoned a Republican incumbent. The AP also reported a Trump-allied super PAC cutting back in the Las Vegas-area race (NV-03) and a DCCC $17 million fundraising drive to exploit the openings.
Source: Associated Press →Tuesday, October 13, 2026Party committees
DCCC lays down $13M in coordinated ads across 39 House districts — its largest reach this cycle
House Democrats' campaign arm launched $13 million in coordinated ad buys across 39 districts this week — the DCCC's largest reach of investments this cycle — going on air for the first time in four more Trump-won districts. The move came as Republicans defend a slew of redder seats in the final stretch.
Source: Political Wire (reporting Politico) →Monday, October 12, 2026AIPAC / UDP
AIPAC's super PAC attacks El-Sayed in Michigan's general election with $95,000 mailer buy; Rogers welcomes the help
The United Democracy Project, AIPAC's super PAC, disclosed about $95,000 in direct-mail spending opposing Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed in the general election, its first general-election spending of 2026. The mailers target roughly 130,000 Jewish voters in Michigan. Republican nominee Mike Rogers publicly welcomed AIPAC's support during the Oct. 8 debate, a reversal after his allies had reportedly asked the group to stay out of the race in August.
Source: Washington Examiner →Monday, October 12, 2026AIPAC / UDP
Democratic pollsters and consultants collected $7M+ from AIPAC's super PAC and DMFI since 2021
At least 20 Democrat-aligned firms have worked for the United Democracy Project or Democratic Majority for Israel since 2021, including Impact Research, Global Strategy Group, and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner, collecting more than $7 million. The reporting lands as UDP resumes general-election spending against Michigan Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed and has signaled it plans to spend much more to defeat him.
Source: Sludge →Monday, October 12, 2026Party committees
GOP triage: Senate Leadership Fund pulls out of North Carolina, pours $10M+ into Kansas and $5M into South Carolina
With three weeks to Election Day, the Senate Leadership Fund has suspended its North Carolina ad reservations and redirected at least $10 million into Kansas, where Roger Marshall faces an unexpectedly competitive challenge, plus $5 million to boost Darline Graham in South Carolina. The group has spent more than $100 million in Texas backing Ken Paxton, while the pro-Trump MAGA Inc. super PAC fuels a major GOP cash advantage and American Bridge has put $20M+ into South Carolina, Kansas, Florida, and Mississippi for Democrats.
Source: CNN →Monday, October 12, 2026AIPAC / UDP
AIPAC's super PAC re-enters Michigan Senate race with $95,000 mailer buy against El-Sayed
The United Democracy Project, AIPAC's super PAC, disclosed nearly $95,000 in direct-mail ads opposing Democrat Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate general election, targeting 130,000 Jewish voters in Michigan over his response to a March attack on Temple Israel in West Bloomfield. The move comes after UDP spent more than $30 million against El-Sayed in the Democratic primary and lost. Republican Mike Rogers has publicly welcomed the help, while El-Sayed is using the spending to argue that outside money is trying to buy the race.
Source: Washington Examiner →Sunday, October 11, 2026Outside spending
Pop-up super PAC spends $181,380 on mailers backing socialist independent Greg Levy in Ohio Senate race
A newly formed super PAC called Enough Promises Ohio (FEC #C00962563) reported $181,380 in independent expenditures on printing and postage supporting Gregory Levy, the independent socialist candidate in Ohio's U.S. Senate special election. Levy is on the November ballot against Republican Jon Husted and Democrat Sherrod Brown. FEC records show the PAC was created on September 29, 2026 — less than two weeks before its first spending report — and lists Johnmark Roller of Reynoldsburg, Ohio as treasurer. Its donors have not been disclosed yet. Election watchers flagged the spending as a possible GOP spoiler effort to siphon votes from Brown in the tight race. The tactic fits a documented pattern: Reuters reported September 18 that 'pop-up' pro-Trump PACs (Ohio Flyer PAC, Buckeyes PAC) spent over $3 million on anti-Brown ads while delaying donor disclosure until mid-October.
Source: FEC committee filings (Enough Promises Ohio, C00962563); Reuters →Saturday, October 10, 2026AIPAC / UDP
RJC Victory Fund launches $2M ad campaign in Michigan Senate race targeting Jewish Democrats against Abdul El-Sayed
The Republican Jewish Coalition Victory Fund launched a $2 million advertising campaign in Michigan's Senate race on October 7, aimed at swaying Jewish voters against Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed. The campaign features two new ads with self-described lifelong Jewish Democrats saying they won't vote for El-Sayed over his response to the March terror attack at Temple Israel in West Bloomfield, plus mail, grassroots, and GOTV operations.
Source: USA Today →Saturday, October 10, 2026AIPAC / UDP
Mike Rogers now says he welcomes AIPAC support in Michigan Senate race after allies previously told the group to butt out
Republican Senate nominee Mike Rogers said during the Oct. 8 debate that he welcomes AIPAC's public support, reversing his allies' August position, when they asked AIPAC not to advertise on his behalf (an Axios-reported request that led AIPAC to shelve an already-cut anti-El-Sayed video ad). The piece also confirms via FEC filings that United Democracy Project has not spent money in support of Rogers' campaign so far — meaning no new UDP general-election spending beyond the already-recorded $95,000 Oct 9 mailers opposing El-Sayed.
Source: Daily Caller →Saturday, October 10, 2026Outside spending
Senate Majority PAC reserves $5 million in Kansas Senate race
The top super PAC for Senate Democrats is reserving $5 million in TV and digital ads in Kansas' newly competitive Senate race, spending through Election Day to narrow the Republican-Democratic spending gap in the state. The move signals Democrats see a serious chance of winning a state they last won in 1932, with pastor Adam Hamilton challenging Republican incumbent Roger Marshall.
Source: Political Wire (via New York Times) →Saturday, October 10, 2026Party committees
DCCC issues urgent $17 million fundraising plea with October 22 deadline
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee sent donors a memo, obtained by Politico, begging for $17 million by October 22 to compete in Trump-won districts including FL-27, NV-02, SC-01, and NY-21. Executive director Julie Merz warned Democrats could 'leave winnable races on the table' without the cash, while acknowledging the Republican ecosystem's 'massive war chest' — the RNC alone has over $125 million cash on hand now being spent in coordination with candidates.
Source: Political Wire (via Politico) →Saturday, October 10, 2026Outside spending
Congressional Leadership Fund files $32.8 million in new House spending across 31 races
The GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund disclosed $32.8 million in new independent expenditures in an FEC 24-hour filing dated October 10, spanning 31 House races — the largest single tranche going to FL-25 ($3.05M), followed by NJ-07 ($2.10M), MI-07 ($2.03M), MI-10 ($1.81M), and NY-17 ($1.69M). The filing shows CLF simultaneously defending vulnerable incumbents (MI-07, NY-17, CA-22, PA-07, CO-08) and targeting Democratic incumbents in Trump country (FL-25, FL-14, TX-34, TX-28, OH-09, NC-01).
Source: James Kay Online (via Rob Pyers FEC filing post) →Saturday, October 10, 2026Outside spending
House Majority PAC set to be largest final-stretch advertiser at $171 million as Democrats debate map expansion
House Majority PAC is the largest advertiser from Oct 10 through Election Day at $171 million in AdImpact reservations, versus about $108 million for the GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund. HMP has put money behind 28 of the DCCC's 46 'Red to Blue' targets with at least 15 more reservations planned, while pulling money out of races in Nebraska, California and Michigan where Democrats feel confident — with outside groups filling in 8 high-profile races so HMP can redeploy into more competitive, red-leaning areas.
Source: CNN →Friday, October 9, 2026Party committees
Senate GOP super PAC adds $30M more for Paxton in Texas, closing in on $200M
Texas PAC, the Senate Leadership Fund-backed super PAC, is placing another $30 million in TV reservations for Ken Paxton, bringing its Texas TV spending to about $155 million and total spending to nearly $200 million, per Punchbowl News. The added spending comes as polls show Paxton trailing Democrat James Talarico in a race the Cook Political Report rates a toss-up.
Source: Daily Caller (via Punchbowl News) →Friday, October 9, 2026AIPAC / UDP
AIPAC's super PAC resumes spending in Michigan Senate race with $95,000 in mailers opposing El-Sayed
United Democracy Project, AIPAC's super PAC, has resumed spending in Michigan's Senate race — its first general-election spending of 2026 — filing a $95,000 direct-mail buy opposing Democrat Abdul El-Sayed, targeted at 130,000 Jewish voters. The mailers invoke a March attack on a Michigan synagogue the FBI called a ‘Hezbollah-inspired act of terrorism.’ At Thursday's debate, Republican Mike Rogers said he would welcome AIPAC's involvement in the race.
Source: Fresh Blog News →Friday, October 9, 2026AIPAC / UDP
Mike Rogers says he welcomes AIPAC support in Michigan Senate debate after allies told the group to stay out
At the Oct. 8 debate, Republican Senate nominee Mike Rogers said he welcomed AIPAC's support after his allies had reportedly asked the group not to advertise for him in August, following Abdul El-Sayed's primary win over AIPAC-backed Haley Stevens. Reporting also notes AIPAC shelved an already-produced video ad targeting El-Sayed after Rogers met with AIPAC's chair. UDP spent $30.6 million in the primary opposing El-Sayed and backing Stevens, per FEC filings.
Source: Daily Caller →Friday, October 9, 2026Election news
Cook Political Report moves 18 House races toward Democrats; sees most likely outcome as a 9-to-19-seat Democratic gain
Cook's House editor moved 18 race ratings toward Democrats on Oct. 9: nine Republican incumbents (Miller-Meeks and Nunn in Iowa; Mackenzie, Perry, and Fitzpatrick in Pennsylvania; Huizenga in Michigan; Wittman in Virginia; Hill in Arkansas; Spartz in Indiana), five Democratic incumbents (Lee in Nevada; Suozzi and Gillen in New York; Gluesenkamp Perez in Washington; Davis in North Carolina), and four open seats (NE-02, IA-02, KY-06, ME-02). Cook now says Democrats need only 20 percent of the Toss Ups to reach a House majority.
Source: Newsmax (Cook Political Report ratings) →Friday, October 9, 2026Party committees
Senate GOP super PAC adds $30 million for Paxton in Texas Senate race
Texas PAC, the Senate Republican leadership-backed super PAC supporting Ken Paxton, placed another $30 million in TV reservations in Texas, pushing its television spending there to about $155 million and overall outlays toward $200 million. The rescue mission comes as Democrat James Talarico leads most public polls and the Cook Political Report rates the race a toss-up. Texas has not sent a Democrat to the Senate since 1993.
Source: Political Wire (citing Punchbowl News) →Thursday, October 8, 2026Party committees
GOP plans $5M for Darline Graham in SC while Senate Leadership Fund pulls North Carolina
Republicans plan to spend $5 million in South Carolina to help GOP nominee Darline Graham — the sister of late Sen. Lindsey Graham — in the final stretch, while the Senate Republicans' top super PAC has pulled its North Carolina spending, per AdImpact, a sign Cooper's lead over Whatley is seen as insurmountable. Outside Republican groups have poured $122 million into the Texas Senate race (Paxton vs. Talarico). AdImpact has $513 million in future Senate-battleground reservations overall, with Republicans holding 61%.
Source: USA Today →Wednesday, October 7, 2026Outside spending
Trump-linked super PAC spends $8M to oust Tom Suozzi in NY-03
No Going Back, the Trump-linked super PAC sharing a treasurer with MAGA Inc., has spent about $8 million on ads and mail attacking Rep. Tom Suozzi (D) in New York's 3rd District, backing Republican Mike LiPetri. Roughly $19 million is expected to pour into the race overall, with Trump-aligned groups at $11 million by Oct 3. The same PAC is also spending to help Jeanine Driscoll unseat Rep. Laura Gillen in NY-04 and to protect Rep. Mike Lawler in NY-17.
Source: Courier New York →Wednesday, October 7, 2026Outside spending
Pritzker-funded PAC launches ad against Rep. French Hill in AR-02
The Ready for the Fight PAC, funded by Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker, launched its first ad attacking Rep. French Hill (R) in Arkansas's 2nd District, whose opponent is Democrat Chris Jones. The seat was added to the DCCC's Red to Blue program the day before. Hill called the effort a "desperate" attempt to "buy the seat" but acknowledged the political environment is "quite bad" for Republicans; GOP allies still lead spending in the race per AdImpact.
Source: Bloomberg Government →Tuesday, October 6, 2026Party committees
Both parties pull ad money from House races they no longer see as winnable
Congressional Leadership Fund (GOP) and House Majority PAC (Democrats) have both slashed late ad reservations in a handful of House races, per AdImpact. Republicans pulled $1.1M+ from NE-02, ~$200K from NJ-09, $1.4M+ from NY-19 and ~$100K from NY-03 — moving the NY-03 money to NJ-07. Democrats pulled $200K+ from CA-48 and nearly $200K from MI-08, signaling confidence in races they believe are safe. The pattern is classic late-cycle triage: each side ceding seats it no longer thinks are in play.
Source: Washington Examiner →Monday, October 5, 2026Party committees
Senate Leadership Fund shifts money to Kansas: $14M for Marshall, $62M more across five states
The top GOP Senate super PAC paused planned North Carolina ad spending and redirected it to defend Sen. Roger Marshall in Kansas, planning $14 million there. It also added $8M in Maine, $4M in Alaska, $2M in Michigan, $20M in Iowa, and $14M in Ohio — $62 million in new reservations in recent days.
Source: Newsmax (reporting Punchbowl News) →Monday, October 5, 2026Outside spending
Another $1 billion in congressional ad reservations still to air; Ohio leads Senate states
AdImpact reports $1.08 billion in future ad reservations across congressional races. Among Senate contests, Ohio has $137.5 million reserved, followed by North Carolina ($66.6M), Michigan ($60.9M), Iowa ($59.1M), and Maine ($57.1M). September congressional ad spending topped $1 billion — nearly double August.
Source: AdImpact (via Inside Radio) →Monday, October 5, 2026Party committees
Senate Leadership Fund pauses North Carolina Senate ads, redirects millions to Kansas
The Senate Leadership Fund, the top Republican Senate super PAC, paused its ad campaign in North Carolina's Senate race, where GOP nominee Michael Whatley trails Democrat Roy Cooper, and redirected roughly $8-10 million in ad reservations to Kansas to defend Sen. Roger Marshall. The shift, reported by the Associated Press, CBS and NBC, reflects an increasingly defensive GOP Senate strategy. North Carolina remains CNN's top-ranked seat most likely to flip.
Source: CNN →Saturday, October 3, 2026AIPAC / UDP
Sanders says AIPAC plans $233 million to defeat candidates critical of Netanyahu
Sen. Bernie Sanders said on X that AIPAC plans to spend $233 million in the midterms against candidates who speak out against Netanyahu's government. He also renewed his call to end U.S. military aid to Israel ahead of the November 3 election. Note: PoliVion's own documented totals are lower ($78.3M in AIPAC-linked direct contributions plus $53.5M in UDP outside spending, through mid-August) — Sanders may have information not yet reflected in public filings, so our figures may be behind his.
Source: The Cradle →Monday, September 28, 2026Outside spending
Texas Senate race could draw $200 million in outside spending
The Senate Leadership Fund has already reserved $125 million in advertising in the Texas Senate race, with another $20 million from Trump's MAGA Inc super PAC. A person familiar with internal discussions said the full total could easily reach $200 million.
Source: HuffPost (via DSCC) →Friday, September 4, 2026Party committees
DCCC begins coordinated TV spending: $338,000 in three House races
The DCCC's first coordinated TV buys of the general election totaled $338,000: $248,000 defending Rep. Vicente Gonzalez in TX-34, $57,000 for Rep. Shomari Figures in AL-2, and $33,000 for Christina Hines in MI-10. The committee said it had invested early in digital and mail before going up on TV in the final two months.
Source: Washington Examiner →Thursday, September 3, 2026Party committees
NRCC reserves $8.7 million in coordinated TV ads across 20+ House races
After the Supreme Court struck down limits on coordinated spending between party committees and candidates, the NRCC reserved nearly $8.7 million in coordinated ad buys across more than 20 competitive House races in 17 states. The DCCC had made no coordinated general-election buys at that point.
Source: Washington Examiner →Monday, August 3, 2026AIPAC / UDP
AIPAC tops $100 million in 2026 election spending for the second cycle in a row
A review of FEC records found AIPAC's PAC and its super PAC, the United Democracy Project, combined for more than $104 million in 2026-cycle political spending. UDP had another $80 million on hand at the end of June, so the total is likely to grow before Election Day.
Source: Sludge →
No election news for this state yet.